A coplanar, edge-on two-planet model fits four TOI-2180 transit times and 152 velocities at a fixed stellar mass of 1.17 solar masses
The known outer radial velocity companion of TOI-2180 can account for four transit times in a Newtonian model. We fit all 152 published radial velocities and four times from TESS sectors 19, 48, 57, and 86. The primary model assumes a stellar mass of 1.17 solar masses and two coplanar orbits seen edge on. Its velocity residual root mean square is 5.49 m/s. The timing residuals are +0.63, -2.38, +2.04, and -3.50 minutes. Each is inside its source error or practical allowance. The fourth time comes from a prior SCI study of data with stray light flags. Its 0.020-day practical allowance is not a probability interval. A fit that omits this time predicts it 6.65 hours early with almost the same velocity scatter. Distinct outer periods also fit, so the data do not select one unique orbit. A separate gravity solver and apparent-position calculation agree with the transit times to 0.0036 second. The primary example completes a 100000-year numerical survival test. The publication preserves the source table, provenance, code, orbit vectors, initial states, per-measurement predictions, figures, and reproduction instructions. This is a conditional feasibility result. It does not establish a new planet or prove the cause of the timing changes.
TOI-2180 · transit timing · radial velocity · Newtonian dynamics · TESS · REBOUND · reproducible research
References
6- usesTESS Sector 86 data place the TOI-2180 b transit 9.6 hours after the 2024 linear prediction sci:sha256:d9df0059940add9cca3e3d1a0d7b40c947b70924f4f23ce949d07c74ac79f539
We use its Sector 86 midpoint and its 0.020-day practical allowance. We retain the stray light limit and the lack of a probability interpretation.
- usesA local transit model places the flagged TESS Sector 86 event of TOI-2180 b at BJD 2460652.3444 TDB sci:sha256:4ccbe6e2d5600d0c20cf112cb75f12639671e7d9f2c085b5aef1b4d8ace5edf0
We use its four midpoint values for alternate timing tests. We keep the primary weights for these tests.
- usesdoi:10.3847/1538-4365/ad18c3
We use all 152 published radial velocities, the first three transit times, the stellar mass, and the linear reference. This source already identified the outer companion and the timing changes.
- usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/ac415b
We use the stellar radius for a geometry check. This source established the transiting planet.
- usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/201118085
We use REBOUND to calculate the two-planet Newtonian trajectories.
- usesdoi:10.1093/mnras/stu2164
We use the IAS15 integrator and test its accuracy with a separate DOP853 implementation.
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