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TESS sectors 1-107 show no new transit of 659 RV planets in their RV-predicted windows; the same search finds 24 of 28 known transiting RV planets; the HD 44219 eclipses come from a neighbour star

We searched the TESS light curves (sectors 1 to 107; SPOC, TESS-SPOC and QLP) for transits of 795 planets that radial-velocity (RV) surveys found and that have no known transit. For each planet, 2000 Monte Carlo samples of the archive orbit give the transit windows. The search used only these windows, with one box-minus-flanks statistic and one set of vetting tests for all planets. A sign-inverted (null) search of the same windows set the detection thresholds (S* = 7.8 for single events, 7.0 for multiple events). 897 injected transits gave the detection efficiency. TESS data cover the predicted windows of 659 planets. The search found no transit candidate: the vetting tests rejected all 68 signals above the threshold. For each planet we give the detection probability P_det and the posterior transit probability. P_det is more than 0.9 for 164 planets, and for 181 planets the search detects a planet smaller than 2 Earth radii with 90 % efficiency. The search found 24 of 28 RV-discovered planets that are known to transit (positive controls), and the injection model predicts 20.6. One control (55 Cnc e) failed because its RV period is a one-day alias. The expected number of new detections is 11.4 ± 3.2 and the observed number is 0. This is a selection effect, because earlier surveys already found the transiting RV planets, and these planets are the controls. When we add the controls, the search finds 24 transits and the model expects 13.2 ± 3.5 (P = 0.003). Without the 9 controls in systems where a transit survey found a planet, it finds 18 and the model expects 12.7 (P = 0.09). The strongest signal that passed the first vetting step is the catalogued 8.17-d eclipsing binary at HD 44219. The centroid shifts and the difference images show that the eclipses come from the neighbour star Gaia DR3 3001428355964665728 (TIC 443088035, G = 12.1, 19.5 arcsec away), not from HD 44219 (the difference-image fits prefer the neighbour by Δχ² ≥ 490). The Gaia DR3 variability tables, VSX and Prša et al. (2022) do not list this neighbour as a variable star. Assumptions: the archive orbits and their errors are correct and independent, the radii follow the Chen & Kipping relation with m = m sin i, and the orbits have random orientation. The package contains the code, the archive query results (not the Gaia query), the per-planet results, the injections, the vetting tables and the figures. A script downloads the light curves again from MAST.

TESS · radial velocity · transit search · exoplanets · transit probability · injection-recovery · null search · positive controls · eclipsing binary · HD 44219 · centroid analysis · difference imaging · detection efficiency · false alarm · ephemeris propagation · NASA Exoplanet Archive · Gaia DR3 · Chen-Kipping mass-radius relation

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References

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  1. supportsTESS sectors 21 and 48 recover added circular 3-Earth-radius HD 86728 b transits at all 256 tested phases for impact parameters 0, 0.5, and 0.8 sci:sha256:1414559d98e85edf44f9fd7d7c735642e676553bdb28e47f61c75d96ec04c091

    Our uniform TESS search finds no transit of HD 86728 b in its RV-predicted windows (S = 3.81, P_det = 0.57).

  2. supportsTESS sectors 105 and 106 show no event above the tested transit threshold in HD 20794 sci:sha256:fdb4c91a2f997ac2b427894b0a52531f187d9b68f98982da6f03983ec13a4990

    Our uniform TESS search finds no transit of HD 20794 f in its RV-predicted windows (S = 6.25, P_det = 0.30).

  3. supportsFive TESS sectors recover all 1152 tested circular GJ 887 e transit signals at 0.8 Earth radii near 4.42490 days sci:sha256:ec397ea1db50d8cae21d885b2273ef813869654b7923f5c0fa2dd4836a741b2b

    Our uniform TESS search finds no transit of GJ 887 e. The best solution (S = 8.60, 27 events) fails the uniqueness test (UNQ), and P_det = 0.91.

  4. supportsTwelve TESS sectors cover 100 percent of orbital phase for circular HD 216520 b models with 2 Earth radii at 201 tested periods near 35.45 days and three impact parameters sci:sha256:395212a74f35731d9dd37cc02d7b7a7994e1e8bbc7d5703ebca7a3c2ef344aa1

    Our uniform TESS search finds no transit of HD 216520 b in its RV-predicted windows (S = 6.19, below the threshold; P_det = 0.91).

  5. supportsSix TESS sectors reject assumed central 1.5 Earth radius transits of GJ 251 c on the White NEID grid under five fixed noise models sci:sha256:5d1374021470ec3e77a87fbd1e2645173524f81481bc8189c96048c1ea7fc0fa

    Our uniform TESS search finds no transit of GJ 251 c in its RV-predicted windows (S = 3.91, P_det = 0.898).

  6. supportsSix TESS sectors sample every GJ 251 c transit train with events of at least 1.94 hours in the tested White NEID box sci:sha256:af15121d1f462ea4e9cdfaa63b6c72c5c0f2c9e63518950a13682a32b2692762

    Our search covers the RV-predicted windows of GJ 251 c and finds no transit (P_det = 0.898).

  7. Five TESS sectors leave 6.3% of phases unobserved for a circular central GJ 887 d transit model at 50.77 days and 2.29 Earth radii sci:sha256:a1add1aa4b929c55e8d7e1fb161f6b7e693d94b0841bcfd079f26bfdfdfdeca7
  8. A blind Keplerian search of 743 HARPS-RVBank v2 stars with 30 or more nights recovers 248 of 465 known planets and finds 57 signals (FAP < 0.1 %) with no known match that pass activity tests sci:sha256:17e2629023ac1bcbb507eb643afc93a73a34d8a9d1ba2357cc22bd7bc4f108cb
  9. QLP depths are smaller than T16 depths at a 5.6962-day clock for nine TESS sector 1 targets sci:sha256:cd254d55a1baa0c8efd1926aac49d8a1e53a192eda2f0f547a5e6e945321d161
  10. Combined TESS data recover 95.3 to 100% of added circular transits from planets of 1.5 to 2.5 Earth radii on a fixed HD 40307 g grid sci:sha256:1266b1775f134d76724ed7b0bdf389231b9a59e9f502ba69cee6f9fba49ad4df
  11. Trials recover transits of 1.8 Earth radii at all 240 grid points in TESS sectors 50–52 of GJ 3942 under a uniform star model sci:sha256:c662776af200313db434f9c01dc0359bfdbe5f104ee7516c1ff3c82aaf08481c
  12. Two TESS sectors recover tested circular transit models of 2 Earth radius planets near 2.5566 days at HD 32564 sci:sha256:b0b54ecec71ff8b92e55d88af8d6f8103c953cd7c5d8daca876ab8d384ae719e
  13. Five TESS sectors miss the predicted transit times of the fixed circular 89.023-day HD 71334 model sci:sha256:fe830315901c32a12c0d2deaf8b1c15d5f0fade559e4c4d5fa1cc1f7099c38de
  14. An orbital phase test with three flux harmonics gives a minimum tail fraction near 0.02 in ten HD 118203 TESS intervals sci:sha256:c8e296d7fbe86802f0d2b9fe87217c14e359e0fcd8d0eec29800e89a0edec260
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