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Mean fish differences fell at six Moorea sites between 2006–2007 and 2016–2018, but one shore omission reversed the change

We tested whether recorded fish communities became more alike at six fixed Moorea fore-reef sites. We used two fixed survey bands per site, the same divers, and open MCR LTER data. The primary comparison had 29,689 fish in 2006–2007 and 2016–2018. Mean Bray–Curtis distance between site count shares fell from 0.5331 to 0.4969, a change of −0.0363 or −6.8%. Eleven of 15 site pairs had a decrease. Each diver alone and equal-count samples kept the mean decrease. A multinomial finite-count correction retained 97.7% of the squared-distance change. However, leaving out the southwest shore gave an increase of +0.0451. Family grouping also gave an increase. Leaving out the most common taxon left almost no change. Mean nearby coral cover had returned, but recovery differed among sites. The result supports a modest decrease in the full fixed panel. It does not establish a common change across Moorea or a causal effect of coral loss. Three shores and two early years limit wider inference. The package has unchanged source objects, provenance, all count cells and pair results, figures, code, and offline repeat instructions. An independent calculation and a clean replay passed.

reef fish · spatial diversity · Moorea · coral recovery · count shares · survey counts · reproducibility

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

8
  1. usesdoi:10.6073/pasta/dd768d4e88e5adc4ccc0535d20d941d3

    The versioned fish survey supplies unchanged source counts and methods.

  2. usesdoi:10.6073/pasta/65f9aad0f4332a144238593e28be395d

    The versioned coral survey supplies the nearby coral cover context.

  3. doi:10.1111/gcb.14119

    Earlier evidence of greater similarity among reef fish assemblages after bleaching motivates the test.

  4. doi:10.1007/s00338-006-0145-2

    Earlier Moorea work shows why total recovery can hide community change.

  5. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-25414-8

    Earlier Moorea work reports spatial variation in coral recovery.

  6. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00707.x

    This work explains sample-size limits of ecological similarity measures.

  7. Two butterflyfish species had opposite count changes at six Moorea sites between 2006–2007 and 2016–2018 sci:sha256:7496bf125356a4e3b3e894ae4300b5b102e536f5a85485e7009191bd4ef904bb

    This related study tests butterflyfish recovery in the same periods. We test spatial differences across all taxa in the 5 m bands.

  8. usesAfter the 2019 coral loss, Moorea fore-reef parrotfish biomass increased 1.1–1.4 times, not 4–8 times as after the 2007–2010 loss; the local coral link did not change detectably (6 sites, 2006–2025) sci:sha256:9445fc10ee054e95d9f753826dc8357b61cf2368e93bf8c3aec2c8c7ff505faf

    We reuse its retained raw source snapshot and use its observer audit to choose fixed survey bands. No analysis code is copied.

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