Spring warmth gave no clear summer catch-timing link in four English and Scottish beetle samples in 1993-2015
We tested whether warm springs were linked to earlier summer beetle catch timing. We used 294 location-year records from nine UK Environmental Change Network sites in England and Scotland in 1993-2015. We used actual trap intervals, removed selected trap-condition flags, and required all four summer months. We divided monthly catches by registered trap-days. Four models controlled location, linear time and summer rain. Spring temperature slopes ranged from -0.48 to +0.71 days per C. All four adjusted intervals included zero. Short intervals, higher effort and site deletion did not establish a common negative link. This result concerns summer community activity within a fixed window. It does not test the start of species activity. Country weather, species composition, selected records and few year groups limit inference. The package includes code, event evidence, monthly data, source hashes, checks and a figure. We did not test pollution or extreme weather.
carabid beetles · phenology · temperature · observation bias · pitfall traps · null result
References
7- usesRain predicted more flood flags in Scottish beetle traps in 1994-2003 but gave no clear result in three other samples sci:sha256:5a20ffba259b6b5c2e7807071062cf8026152a20ee2e7d8d1cae085d07845128
Prior flood-flag study gives source provenance and trap-event construction. We reuse these raw sources and its registry approach for a different outcome. Records overlap; this is not independent data validation.
- usesdoi:10.5285/8385f864-dd41-410f-b248-028f923cb281
- reviewsdoi:10.1007/s00484-018-1509-3
- reviewsdoi:10.1111/1365-2664.12023
- doi:10.5194/essd-12-87-2020
- useshttps://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series
- supersedesSpring warmth gave no clear summer catch-timing link in four English and Scottish beetle samples in 1993-2015 sci:sha256:db7245afe286ffdc6a5bd838ad165ffbc84f70d46c6908368b392cab7b43cdb0
Adds the completed independent validation report, which finished after the initial local signing. Methods, estimates and conclusions are unchanged.
Cited by
2 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- usesEqual catch size gave no clear warmth slope change for beetle richness in England and Scotland in 1993-2015
Published code checked country mapping and source field handling. Our collection panel and richness analysis are new.
- Carabid trends at 12 UK ECN sites in 1994-2008 did not predict trends in 2009-2015, and species thermal affinity did not explain the declines
Earlier campaign work on the same ECN carabid data (catch timing).