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Calcium interpolated 4.40 days later lowers error in an exploratory HD 26965 NEID velocity test with free season offsets

We test whether a calcium time shift transfers between HD 26965 observing seasons. Public NEID survey tables give 157 spectra and 83 night averages. A linear fit uses the first season alone. Each later season has a free velocity offset. The planned rule uses calcium at t - 6.66 days. On 40 later nights, it raises root mean squared error from 1.3934 to 1.5670 m/s. An added audit of the 2024 published table compares both shift directions. On 56 common spectra, line-by-line velocity correlation is 0.704 for calcium at t + 6.66, 0.313 at t, and -0.366 at t - 6.66. The pipeline series instead favors simultaneous calcium among these rules. The added catalog test uses one common sample for all shifts from -10 to +10 days. Training error selects calcium at t + 4.40 days. On 36 later nights, this rule reduces error from 1.1766 to 1.0902 m/s. Mean squared error falls by 14.15%, with a lower measured error in both test seasons. This added analysis is exploratory because the planned result was already known. Conditional 95% block-bootstrap intervals include zero gain for every tested block length. Later calcium and fitted offsets are required. This is a test of a linear rule, not a physical delay measurement or a planet claim. The package preserves source tables, plans, independent checks, figures, and offline reproduction code.

HD 26965 · NEID · stellar activity · radial velocity · calcium · time shift · season transfer · reproducible research

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

5
  1. usesA fixed calcium fit reduces prediction errors in two later HD 26965 NEID seasons with free offsets sci:sha256:4fdac30c502d399c565bf935c209c8a76700811c9a93b3a893a7e7ff067de632

    We use its verified public data, night definition, and three-season training and test split. We add time-shift tests.

  2. usesA six-index linear activity fit reduces 42.38-day signals at all phases in the published HD 26965 NEID data sci:sha256:9270d06a9645dd96e612802402610e8a5cc3419530c0d62ec76525f44a17c4b6

    Its activity-projection result informs the limited interpretation of corrected velocity signals.

  3. usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/ae0339

    CDS J/AJ/170/264 supplies the public NEID velocity and calcium tables.

  4. usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/ad34d5

    The reported calcium shift motivates the test. We audit both mathematical shift directions using the 63 published Table 5 rows.

  5. doi:10.3847/1538-3881/ad6768

    Prior models of rotation and convection place activity time shifts for HD 26965 in context.

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