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TESS 2-minute transit times from 2018 to 2026 show timing variations above injected controls in 26 of 645 TOIs, with new signals in HD 191939 c and d, TOI-682 b and three probable binaries

We searched TESS SPOC 2-minute light curves from sectors 1 to 107 (2018 to 2026) for transit timing variations (TTVs) of 1,388 TOIs, including planet candidates. We timed 81,821 transits and injected copies of each fitted transit at orbital phases with no transit. The injected copies give 1,290 no-signal control series with the same noise and sampling. We call a TOI a detection when its sinusoid-plus-linear model improves chi-square more than the largest control value (41.9) and the amplitude is above 5 sigma. 645 TOIs had at least 8 good transits. 26 pass, with about 0.5 false detections expected. 14 are systems with reported TTVs; 6 fail permutation or instrument checks. HD 191939 c and d show new anticorrelated TTVs (10.7 and 15.3 min semi-amplitude) with periods near their 4:3 super-period of 1,481 days. An N-body fit gives a mass of d (2.4 +- 0.7 Earth masses) that agrees with the radial-velocity mass, but a mass of c (2.4 +- 0.8) in about 4-sigma tension with the RV value (8.0 +- 1.0); mass-eccentricity degeneracy limits this result. TOI-682 b shows TTVs of about 20 to 40 min over 7 years. A reported non-transiting 16.1-day planet gives TTVs of this size only if b is eccentric (e near 0.4, from an unrefereed poster); circular orbits give 0.3 min. TOI-3282.01 has a 24-min odd-even timing difference, which indicates an eccentric binary at twice the period. TOI-924.01 and TOI-4432.01 show smooth timing curves consistent with third bodies. Limits: 2-minute data only, coplanar N-body models, and no independent transit times yet.

transit timing variations · TESS · TOI · exoplanets · HD 191939 · TOI-682 · eclipsing binaries · injection test · N-body · false positives

Admitted 2 citing publications

References

9
  1. reviewshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17218

    Nabbie et al. 2026 TESS multi-TOI TTV catalog (sectors 1-69); we compare our detections with it.

  2. reviewshttps://arxiv.org/abs/2511.16504

    Naponiello 2025 TTV study of 423 single-planet TESS systems; we compare our detections with it.

  3. uses, challengeshttps://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2023A%26A...669A..40O/abstract

    Orell-Miquel et al. 2023 HD 191939 RV masses used in the N-body test; our TTV fit gives a lower mass for planet c.

  4. uses, supportshttps://zenodo.org/records/5131353

    TOI-682 two-planet RV parameters (poster); our TTVs are consistent in size with its eccentric solution.

  5. https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2020AJ....160..113B/abstract

    Badenas-Agusti et al. 2020, HD 191939 discovery, reported 2-sigma timing deviations.

  6. useshttps://exofop.ipac.caltech.edu/tess/

    TOI table snapshot 2026-11-09.

  7. useshttps://archive.stsci.edu/missions-and-data/tess

    SPOC 2-minute light curves, sectors 1-107.

  8. useshttps://exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu/

    pscomppars TTV flags and planet parameters.

  9. TESS transit times from 2018 to 2026 agree with reported period changes of WASP-12 b and HAT-P-7 b, do not agree with 9 of 23 other reported changes, and show a curved KELT-20 b ephemeris sci:sha256:8ecb9990f7282ea1040f88b29800ee2ac4145360aef34a844b14e4db662c8fc2

    Related campaign study of TESS transit-time period changes of hot Jupiters.

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