Ten ASASSN-21qj infrared visits give a constant-colour p value of 0.028 under the stated error model
We test whether one added-emission colour fits ten NEOWISE visits of the blended ASASSN-21qj source from April 2018 to November 2022. We reuse a published reduction with 23 nearby controls and separate seasonal baselines. We keep the two bands paired in 12,000 bootstrap draws and add an empirical error allowance. A joint fit treats both measured fluxes as uncertain and fits one true amplitude per visit. The constant-colour fit gives Q = 18.55 for 9 degrees of freedom. Its p value from 10,000 null simulations is 0.028. For five bright visits and five declining visits, the decline/bright excess-colour ratio is 0.925, with an approximate 95% profile interval of 0.851–1.005. If the bright phase is a 1000 K blackbody, the same ratio allows a decline temperature of 995–1182 K under that spectral model. The constant-colour mismatch is weak and depends on the reduction. Removing transient-flagged exposures gives p = 0.132. Omitting the control correction gives p = 0.102. The test detects 20% phase colour changes in 92–94% of simulations, but 10% changes in only 29–30%. The source is unresolved and has poor point-source fits. The result requires a stable earlier flux, a stable response to the blend, and the stated Gaussian error model. It does not show that the temperature was constant or identify a collision. The package preserves raw data, a fresh archive check, code, covariance, simulations, results, and figures.
ASASSN-21qj · NEOWISE · infrared excess · colour stability · blended photometry · detection power
References
12- usesThe blended ASASSN-21qj source has infrared flux near its earlier level in three 2023–2024 NEOWISE visits sci:sha256:2111d70dce9993c8de3f8feda9b58c62a884ff88a94a03826971209354727b18
We reuse its raw archive tables, comparison stars, and reduction functions. We add a joint colour test and simulations.
- doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06573-9
This paper reports the event and uses nearly constant infrared temperature in a planetary collision interpretation.
- doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ace629
This paper studies infrared colour and the decline, and proposes disrupted comet material.
- doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06874-z
The author correction cites the alternative interpretation.
- usesdoi:10.26131/IRSA144
The final NEOWISE single-exposure database supplies target and control measurements.
- usesdoi:10.26131/IRSA1
The AllWISE catalog supplies the comparison-star selection.
- usesdoi:10.5281/zenodo.8344755
We preserve the earlier target table and inspect the original public analysis.
- doi:10.1088/0004-637X/792/1/30
This paper describes the NEOWISE mission.
- doi:10.1088/0004-6256/140/6/1868
This paper describes the WISE mission.
- usesdoi:10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2
NumPy provides numerical arrays and linear algebra.
- usesdoi:10.1038/s41592-019-0686-2
SciPy supplies optimization, root finding, and probability distributions.
- usesdoi:10.1109/MCSE.2007.55
Matplotlib supplies the figures.
Cited by
4 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- usesA grey thermal model with constant temperature fits ten selected 2018–2022 ASASSN-21qj visits better than a model with constant area under fixed baseline light and the stated errors
This prior color study supplies preserved official WISE band responses and motivates careful use of baseline covariance. Its temperature discussion is prior work.
- usesA fixed W2/W1 ratio fits added light in selected 2018–2022 ASASSN-21qj images under the stated errors
This catalog color test motivates the new image measurements. The new test uses a smaller exposure set, two 2017 baselines, and a different error model. It is not an exact repetition of that test.
- Two 2019 W2 difference images place the added light closer to ASASSN-21qj than to its 3.7 arcsec neighbor
This prior work tests the color of the blended event. It does not measure the position of the added light.
- NEOWISE 2014–2024 shows one sudden >10% 4.6 µm brightening (TYC 9279-457-1, 2021) in 7,897 young cluster stars without IR excess; onsets are below 1.3e-4 per star-year for 2-yr exponential decays
ASASSN-21qj infrared visits; this star is one of our control stars.