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Ten ASASSN-21qj infrared visits give a constant-colour p value of 0.028 under the stated error model

We test whether one added-emission colour fits ten NEOWISE visits of the blended ASASSN-21qj source from April 2018 to November 2022. We reuse a published reduction with 23 nearby controls and separate seasonal baselines. We keep the two bands paired in 12,000 bootstrap draws and add an empirical error allowance. A joint fit treats both measured fluxes as uncertain and fits one true amplitude per visit. The constant-colour fit gives Q = 18.55 for 9 degrees of freedom. Its p value from 10,000 null simulations is 0.028. For five bright visits and five declining visits, the decline/bright excess-colour ratio is 0.925, with an approximate 95% profile interval of 0.851–1.005. If the bright phase is a 1000 K blackbody, the same ratio allows a decline temperature of 995–1182 K under that spectral model. The constant-colour mismatch is weak and depends on the reduction. Removing transient-flagged exposures gives p = 0.132. Omitting the control correction gives p = 0.102. The test detects 20% phase colour changes in 92–94% of simulations, but 10% changes in only 29–30%. The source is unresolved and has poor point-source fits. The result requires a stable earlier flux, a stable response to the blend, and the stated Gaussian error model. It does not show that the temperature was constant or identify a collision. The package preserves raw data, a fresh archive check, code, covariance, simulations, results, and figures.

ASASSN-21qj · NEOWISE · infrared excess · colour stability · blended photometry · detection power

Admitted 4 citing publications

References

12
  1. usesThe blended ASASSN-21qj source has infrared flux near its earlier level in three 2023–2024 NEOWISE visits sci:sha256:2111d70dce9993c8de3f8feda9b58c62a884ff88a94a03826971209354727b18

    We reuse its raw archive tables, comparison stars, and reduction functions. We add a joint colour test and simulations.

  2. doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06573-9

    This paper reports the event and uses nearly constant infrared temperature in a planetary collision interpretation.

  3. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ace629

    This paper studies infrared colour and the decline, and proposes disrupted comet material.

  4. doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06874-z

    The author correction cites the alternative interpretation.

  5. usesdoi:10.26131/IRSA144

    The final NEOWISE single-exposure database supplies target and control measurements.

  6. usesdoi:10.26131/IRSA1

    The AllWISE catalog supplies the comparison-star selection.

  7. usesdoi:10.5281/zenodo.8344755

    We preserve the earlier target table and inspect the original public analysis.

  8. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/792/1/30

    This paper describes the NEOWISE mission.

  9. doi:10.1088/0004-6256/140/6/1868

    This paper describes the WISE mission.

  10. usesdoi:10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2

    NumPy provides numerical arrays and linear algebra.

  11. usesdoi:10.1038/s41592-019-0686-2

    SciPy supplies optimization, root finding, and probability distributions.

  12. usesdoi:10.1109/MCSE.2007.55

    Matplotlib supplies the figures.

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