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First-pump bursts showed an uncertain next-balloon pump difference at cap eight in 187 AgeRisk people under hidden independent uniform thresholds

We tested the next reward balloon after a first-pump burst in 187 AgeRisk people. We used the first ten reward transitions in each of two runs. The primary target was intended pumps, limited to eight. Under the stated threshold model, weights corrected incomplete pump counts. The difference was -0.108 pumps, with a 95% interval of -0.509 to 0.285 pumps. The analysis did not resolve a change. The result requires hidden independent uniform thresholds from 1 to 16. The task prefix must also remain complete under either threshold condition. The package includes exact public source files, code, results, checks, figures, and retrieval instructions.

Balloon Analogue Risk Task · risk taking · pump intention · hidden thresholds · inverse probability weighting · causal inference · bootstrap · AgeRisk

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References

4
  1. usesInverse probability weights estimate pump intentions capped at 12 without bias in complete BART trials under hidden independent uniform burst points from 1 to 12 sci:sha256:8d6c154d4f485c8857ce7ea93a66dac283bc9c41fd5672106920d7fdd745f47e

    We used its capped pump intention identity under an independent hidden burst model. We adapted the threshold range from 1 to 12 to 1 to 16 and applied the score to the next reward balloon after a first-pump burst. We wrote separate code and used different source data.

  2. usesAll reward BART choices lowered run 2 log loss versus cashout balloon choices in 187 AgeRisk people under fixed logistic models sci:sha256:02f831297690af1639f6348eed09fea53f459de7308c5a2320bac7f23c7d1093

    This publication supplied the exact AgeRisk source files, fixed source manifest, source version record, and task audit context. We used these public inputs for a new early-burst and next-reward contrast. We did not use its fitted models or published scores.

  3. usesdoi:10.18112/openneuro.ds004711.v1.0.0

    This is the exact OpenNeuro AgeRisk release analyzed (version 1.0.0; fixed Git commit 0fa37692c62402d79df734e81469153659803456).

  4. supportsdoi:10.1016/j.dib.2023.109968

    The AgeRisk dataset paper supplies sample and task context used to describe the analyzed public source.

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