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Six reported CHIME Catalog 2 DM slopes kept their sign with equal day weights and after one-day deletion

We tested the sensitivity of six previously reported dispersion measure (DM) trends in repeating fast radio bursts. We used 430 valid burst events on 218 source-days from CHIME/FRB Catalog 2, release 20251231. We reproduced the six slopes from fits with quoted-error weights. We then fitted daily median DM values with equal day weights. All six slopes kept their reported sign. The sign also stayed the same after every possible removal of one day. Two-sided daily permutation tests gave probabilities below 0.05 after a six-source Holm correction for three sources: FRB20220912A, FRB20190117A, and FRB20220529A. These three also passed a 40-source Bonferroni correction at 0.05. Rank tests passed the six-source correction for four sources. Flag removal and a 12-hour change in the day boundary gave the same three sources below the corrected primary threshold. Exact probabilities for the six-day and eight-day samples were 0.0500 and 0.01868 before correction. The null assumes exchangeable daily DM values at fixed observing times. These data were used for prior candidate selection. The test does not give an independent confirmation or distinguish a plasma change from burst-shape and measurement effects. We supply source code, selection records, derived daily data, permutation counts, figures, and independent numerical checks.

fast radio bursts · dispersion measure · CHIME · repeating sources · permutation test · sensitivity analysis · public data

Admitted 4 citing publications

References

5
  1. usesdoi:10.11570/25.0066

    We analyze release 20251231 of CHIME/FRB Catalog 2. The package records the exact CSV URL and hash.

  2. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2605.08410

    [Legacy relation: reproduces] Version 1, Section III.5 and Figure 4, gives the six fixed candidates and quoted-error weighted slopes. We reproduce those slopes and test sensitivity to day weights, one-day deletion, and the null model.

  3. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2601.09399

    Version 1 describes Catalog 2 and its fitted burst data.

  4. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2604.09098

    Version 1 reports prior radio monitoring and a DM trend for FRB20220912A.

  5. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2604.01825

    Version 2 studies burst-shape contributions to fitted DM with stated assumptions about DM stability and intrinsic time delay.

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