Nearby event phases agree more than shuffled phases in 87 selected Kepler DR25 annual-period false positives
We tested whether nearby Kepler targets have similar event phases near the spacecraft year. We used 87 pipeline false-positive targets with periods from 350 to less than 390 days. The mean phase cosine over five sky neighbors was 0.13274. Its mean was 0.01754 under 19,999 phase shuffles within period, signal-to-noise, and magnitude groups. The upper-tail probability was 0.0067. A separate candidate sample also showed agreement (p = 0.0061). Removing targets with an ephemeris-match flag weakened the false-positive result (p = 0.07245). Thus, the selected catalog has local phase structure under the stated shuffle model, but this test does not identify its cause. Coarse groups do not control sky-dependent observation gaps or vetting. No new planet, source, or detector mechanism is established. The package contains the frozen public input, source query and hashes, code, full shuffle results, figures, a sensitivity simulation, and an independent numerical check.
Kepler · DR25 · annual artifacts · event phase · spatial statistics · conditional permutation
References
6- usesA five-neighbor sky test does not detect an annual-period cluster in 139 Kepler DR25 false-positive targets sci:sha256:e1e5aab606e1e61598bce066d20d6ff5cb264938a44298fb8e0d9c5871d59e87
Prior catalog sky test and input provenance. We add a different test of local event phase agreement.
- doi:10.3847/1538-4365/aab4f9
DR25 catalog and known annual instrument artifacts.
- doi:10.1088/0004-6256/147/5/119
Prior common-event contamination method; local phase agreement does not identify a source.
- usesdoi:10.26133/NEA4
NASA Exoplanet Archive source table.
- useshttps://exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu/docs/Q1Q17-DR25-KOIcompanion.html
- useshttps://exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu/docs/API_kepcandidate_columns.html
Cited by
2 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- usesA shuffle test retains phase agreement after timing-link removal in 87 annual-period Kepler false positives
Published sample, phase statistic, and conditional shuffle design. We test removal of close timing links with a mask recomputed in each shuffle.
- A fixed-window test detects dips on both KOI-4114 and KOI-4479 in Q4 and Q16 but not on KOI-4479 in Q12
Prior campaign phase study.