Mean length changes were uncertain for six fish taxa in matched catches at 168 English sites, 2000–2009 versus 2016–2025
We compared recorded fish lengths in 2000–2009 and 2016–2025 at repeated English freshwater survey sites. We used open Environment Agency records. The main sample has 85,864 fish in 1,432 survey-species records from 1,056 surveys at 168 sites. We matched site, source species group, calendar month and fishing method. Each group had at least two observed years in each period. Each first-pass catch had at least ten fish and a valid individual length for every fish. Six taxa had at least 15 matched sites. We gave sites equal weight within a taxon. Mean length change estimates were −0.2% for brown / sea trout, +10.9% for Atlantic salmon, −17.2% for chub, −6.1% for dace, −6.5% for gudgeon and −8.3% for roach. All six 95% ranges included zero when 50-km spatial blocks and common calendar years were allowed to vary. Shared weights on adjacent two- or three-year blocks gave the same uncertainty result. A further check removed sites with reported coordinate spans above 250 m. In that sample, gudgeon length fell by 8.3%, with a 95% range of −17.7% to −0.6%. We retain both results. An independent calculation checked all selected length values against the source archive and reproduced every primary site estimate. An offline repeat reproduced all 16 checked output files. These results describe conditional catch samples. They do not show stable national fish size, measure growth at a given age, or identify a climate cause. The package preserves source-value extracts, source hashes, code, complete results, figures and repeat instructions.
freshwater fish · body length · Environment Agency · paired surveys · measurement coverage · spatial uncertainty · open data
References
5- usesThe fish community temperature index did not increase at 2,006 English river sites in 2000–2025 while air temperature rose 0.29 °C per decade; it followed summer temperature only from year to year sci:sha256:550a7813860bff7d8da43b0ecd993fd3a56d8a89daeb2977a19ccf4a721aec1a
We reuse its retained unchanged Environment Agency source archives. We build new individual-length extracts and do not reuse its community temperature indices.
- doi:10.1073/pnas.0902080106
This study separates species shares, population size, age structure and size at age in aquatic body-size responses.
- doi:10.1016/j.tree.2011.03.005
This review places body-size responses to warming in context. We checked its bibliographic metadata.
- Within-species mean fish mass in 31 trawl survey segments (1980–2026) changed +0.3% per °C of yearly bottom-temperature anomaly (95% CI −0.7 to +1.3), not the −2.5 to −5% of the temperature–size rule sci:sha256:9fbcc6a31c132aa44d1dd80c36ea666b96cffa65a298e3d4c61b7a6295ea8148
Related fish-size work uses mean mass in trawl surveys and temperature anomalies. The current study uses individual freshwater lengths.
- Mass changes within taxa added 10.3 g to mean recorded fish mass at six Moorea fore-reef sites between 2006–2010 and 2021–2025 sci:sha256:1cc20a80cea1c38bace65f7b83308f20e5e5bc8d71f9705cf82e52d2adfa211b
Related work separates within-taxon mass changes and composition in Moorea fish surveys. We use matched source taxa to avoid between-taxon composition changes.
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