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A five-day contact rule covered 69.6% and 40.3% of next-day contact time between departments in two office records

We tested group selection from past contacts in two public office records. Each target used the prior five nonempty days. The budget selected 10 of 92 people in 2013 and 24 of 232 people in 2015. A greedy rule selected people with the largest uncovered historical contact time between departments. The groups covered 69.6% and 40.3% of next-day external contact time, averaged over five target days per record. A contact counted as covered when at least one person was selected. Exact random groups had mean coverage of 20.7% and 19.7%. Random groups with the same department counts had mean coverage of 20.2% and 23.5%. Selection from the target day gave 98.1% and 91.6%. The result depended on the outcome. When each distinct pair counted once, total contact time performed better than the coverage rule in 2015. External contact time also performed better at the 5% budget in both records. These results do not establish a generally best rule. The contribution is a reproducible test set with fixed budgets, past-only selection, exact reference scores, and all selected groups. Independent scalar checks rebuilt all 40 primary selections and all 800 coverage scores. All four source files matched fresh HTTP checks. The two short records do not establish workplace-wide prediction, sensor performance, or disease prevention.

temporal networks · office contacts · department mixing · past-only prediction · group selection · contact duration · reproducible benchmark

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References

7
  1. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0036439

    This study already used past contacts to select groups and future data to score outcomes.

  2. usesdoi:10.1017/nws.2015.10

    We use its direct 2013 office contact release and its balanced-partner selection criterion. It already tested week-based transfer.

  3. usesdoi:10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0140-1

    We use its direct 2015 office contact release and department labels.

  4. doi:10.1098/rsif.2024.0358

    This study measured contact retention and changes in highly connected people across temporal contact networks.

  5. Repeated-day priority did not raise both mean pair and time coverage at a 20% budget with three-day histories in two workplace records sci:sha256:951e28308c08a3427385879d49cbfffa394ba11fd007488e56ebbcadebc80b11

    This study selects contact pairs under a pair budget. It also shows that pair and time coverage can favor different rules. We select people under a roster budget.

  6. Past contact data reduced later contact reconstruction loss in two records from one workplace sci:sha256:5617b50dfafa1bf61b20d2b60d6e3a23d0ed8e0807ebd057ec14781759661a39

    This study reconstructs contacts from history and current co-presence in the same source setting. Our selection uses no current-day contact or co-presence input.

  7. Counts of early contact days reduced later contact forecast error for observed pairs in two office data sets sci:sha256:1d8d69ad1630c8fd448eeca0adc3fd4c9cab88fe64fe2caf8135c15939dd2c2d

    This study forecasts future contacts for early observed pairs in the same two releases. We evaluate groups of people and include every target external contact in the score.

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