Deep snow had larger report contrasts for ground than tree bird pools in eastern feeder samples in 2001-2005 and 2021-2024
We tested whether deep snow had a larger positive link to ground than tree bird reports on the same feeder checklists. We used 125,580 selected North American checklists from 2001-2005 and 2021-2024. Fixed region-specific species pools came from EltonTraits 1.0 and early reporting frequency. Models removed site-winter and state or province by week effects. They controlled reported effort and two-day minimum temperature. Ground-minus-tree contrasts were +0.63 and +1.03 percentage points in the East. Their four-test intervals were +0.02 to +1.24 and +0.54 to +1.51. West contrasts were +0.35 and +0.59; both four-test intervals included zero. Eastern secondary checks kept positive intervals. Deleting any one species kept all four point estimates positive. In later East, the difference included both more ground-pool reports and fewer tree-pool reports. This agrees with a regional food-access prediction but does not identify its cause. Strict trait pools, missing snow reports, selected sites, coarse weather, and group-specific detection limit inference. The study does not measure true occupancy, population gain, pollution effects, or a causal climate-change effect. Source records and transformed record-level data remain external. The package contains code, aggregate evidence, figures, exact source hashes, and independent checks.
feeder birds · snow depth · foraging traits · community composition · observation bias · temperature control · regional replication · Project FeederWatch
References
10- usesDeep snow had a positive link to recorded bird richness in three of four North American feeder samples in 2001-2005 and 2021-2024 sci:sha256:d998637862f59880b1132f5cb31b51000699190db694001555a222a5f4c42eee
We use its public checklist rules, changing-snow selection, fixed-effect design, and cluster-error approach. We add source-defined foraging pools, daily temperature, and paired group outcomes.
- reviewsWinter feeder-bird communities in North America shifted to warmer-adapted species in 2002-2024, but year-to-year and local winter temperature did not explain the shift sci:sha256:c94acf78273342e4059d41fb6b8494821e7960ffeaf617f2c1e88631488fe9f2
It identified weather-dependent feeder use as a possible limit on broad community interpretation.
- reviewsdoi:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2010.01780.x
- reviewsdoi:10.1111/jbi.14326
- usesdoi:10.3389/fevo.2021.619682
- usesdoi:10.1890/13-1917.1
- usesdoi:10.6084/m9.figshare.3559887
- useshttps://feederwatch.org/explore/raw-dataset-requests/
- useshttps://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.cpc.globaltemp.html
- useshttps://docs.ropensci.org/PFW/reference/pfw_dictionary.html
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