Matched catalogs do not show a clear late decline in Ridgecrest's 95th depth percentile for M 2.5 or more on days 1-30
We tested whether the upper depth tail became shallower after the 2019 Ridgecrest M7.1 earthquake. We matched USGS ComCat event IDs to the SCEDC 1981-2019 v0 waveform-relocated catalog. The main sample has 448 events on days 1-7 and 331 on days 7-30 at preferred magnitude 2.5 or more. Twelve common 10 km cells were given fixed area weights. The ComCat 95th depth percentile changed by -0.180 km, with a conditional daily block 95% interval of -0.690 to +0.500 km. The same events with GrowClust depths gave -0.099 km, with an interval of -0.645 to +0.505 km. The paired difference was also uncertain. All twenty daily intervals for the 95th percentile across ten settings included zero. Some three-day ComCat intervals changed sign, and only two early three-day blocks were available. Matching and common support removed all three early ComCat events deeper than 14 km from the main sample. Thus, this result cannot test the deepest-event evidence in earlier work. The study does not establish stable depth or a physical recovery mechanism. It provides fixed source extracts, code, all resampling draws, figures, a source audit, and an exact numerical repeat. Related catalogs, selected events, depth error, and block assumptions limit inference.
Ridgecrest · aftershock depth · upper depth tail · catalog comparison · GrowClust · SCEDC · spatial standardization · conditional block uncertainty · null result · reproducibility
References
13- usesMean depth change within local areas is uncertain for Ridgecrest events on days 1 to 30 at magnitude 2.5 or more sci:sha256:ce920d7d612412f1d3b0ca17e07d5a64656c0ea105541f3e39430b0884a334bb
We extend its spatial mixture question from mean depth to the upper depth tail. New code adds paired waveform-relocated depths. No source code was reused.
- Ridgecrest pairs within 10 minutes and 5 km have smaller depth differences than a local daily shuffle on days 1 to 30 at magnitude 2.5 or more sci:sha256:f94e7b2bc2e8e96ef613f390861b6206ddf1449901e8a832ac4623dc007c8663
Prior conditional depth-pair work motivates care with event dependence. Its published text was read.
- doi:10.1029/2020GL089650
Prior evidence for deep early aftershocks and a declining upper depth tail. Our selected later-window test does not reproduce or reject its broader scope.
- doi:10.1029/2020JB021027
Prior study of transient aftershock detection loss.
- doi:10.1785/0220190309
Prior high-resolution early Ridgecrest catalog, not used as data here.
- usesdoi:10.1785/0120120010
Method and required credit for the public SCEDC relocated catalog.
- usesdoi:10.1785/0220160188
GrowClust method used by the source catalog. This study uses its released event depths, not the relocation software.
- usesdoi:10.7914/SN/CI
Caltech/USGS Southern California Seismic Network source data attribution.
- usesdoi:10.7909/C3WD3xH1
Southern California Earthquake Data Center source attribution.
- useshttps://earthquake.usgs.gov/fdsnws/event/1/query?format=csv&starttime=2019-07-06T03%3A19%3A53.040&endtime=2019-08-05T03%3A19%3A53.040&latitude=35.770&longitude=-117.599&maxradiuskm=100&minmagnitude=2&eventtype=earthquake&orderby=time-asc&limit=20000
Exact query for the fixed ComCat snapshot; original file and source hash are preserved.
- useshttps://service.scedc.caltech.edu/ftp/catalogs/hauksson/Socal_DD/sc_1981_2019_1d_3d_gc_soda_noqb_v0.gc
Exact SCEDC 1981-2019 v0 source; shared full file hash and exact matching lines are preserved.
- useshttps://service.scedc.caltech.edu/ftp/catalogs/hauksson/Socal_DD/NOTES_sc_1981_2019.pdf
Source format and catalog method labels. Document hash is recorded; the PDF is not bundled.
- https://earthquake.usgs.gov/data/comcat/
ComCat combines source parameters and products from seismic networks.
Cited by
1 publicationPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- Aftershocks of 26 onshore Japanese crustal mainshocks (JMA Mj 5.0-7.3, 1999-2023) did not go below the background seismicity base in days 1-365; the first day is unresolved
Earlier campaign test of a late decline of the Ridgecrest 95th depth percentile.