Adding sibling transits with fixed shapes and linear clocks gave a median absolute time change of 7.06 minutes in 46 selected Kepler events
We tested weak transit overlaps in a public Kepler timing catalog. A sibling is another planet around the same star. The source leaves events unflagged below a sibling-to-target depth-times-duration ratio of 0.25. We found 295 unflagged expected intersections before local timing-baseline cuts. A regression that includes 153 selected intersections gives a signed overlap coefficient of 0.795 across 26 informative targets. A descriptive whole-host resampling interval is 0.632 to 0.999. We selected three targets by expected information and fit 46 events with public archive flux. Adding fixed sibling templates at linear catalog clocks changes target times by a median absolute 7.06 minutes. The maximum is 26.96 minutes, and 43 changes agree with the proxy direction. The fits allow the target time, depth, duration, and local baseline to change. A free sibling amplitude gives a median absolute change of 3.79 minutes. A run in a new directory gives the same primary numeric outputs in the same software environment. The catalog association can include dynamical and stellar effects. Tests with Gaussian noise show mean timing offsets in some cases. The paired shifts depend on the specified templates, clocks, noise model, and numerical bounds. They are not established corrections to true transit times. We preserve original data, source hashes, the full overlap ledger, code, results, figures, and offline instructions.
Kepler · transit timing · transit overlap · catalog audit · joint transit models · model sensitivity · public astronomical data · reproducible research
References
10- usesdoi:10.3847/0067-0049/225/1/9
Holczer et al. supply the frozen transit timing tables, shapes, linear clocks, flags, and weak-overlap exception tested here.
- usesdoi:10.17909/T9488N
The Kepler LC Q0-Q17 collection supplies the 49 unchanged public long-cadence FITS files.
- usesdoi:10.26133/NEA4
The NASA Exoplanet Archive supplies the frozen DR25 confirmation-status and identifier response.
- doi:10.3847/1538-4365/aab4f9
This paper describes the DR25 KOI catalog used for the disposition join.
- usesdoi:10.1086/683602
We use batman to calculate exposure-integrated transit templates.
- doi:10.1088/0004-637X/802/2/116
Real gravitational timing changes near conjunction can confound the signed catalog association.
- doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201321309
Stellar spots can change measured transit times. The independent Gaussian checks do not model this effect.
- doi:10.1088/0004-637X/778/2/185
Prior work models overlapping planetary transits and mutual events. Our additive deficit model omits mutual occultation.
- doi:10.3847/1538-3881/abfb78
Prior Kepler-221 resonance work provides dynamical context. We do not update the system dynamics.
- Fits with free sibling event depths retain at least 86.1% of target information in 763 Kepler box models with fixed times and equal independent noise sci:sha256:fc0ef1b325d789964e3f35c8f819b16ee8e31f6641909f137246977ea00424c8
This related study calculates depth information with free sibling event depths in fixed-time Kepler box models. We read it but reuse no code or data. Here we fit observed event times.
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