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Nine TESS PDCSAP transit times of HD 21749 b fit a constant period from 2018 to 2025 under a stated noise model

We measure nine transit times of HD 21749 b with public TESS data from 2018 to 2025. A constant period of 35.61343715 days gives chi-square 4.68 for seven degrees of freedom. The conditional period error is 1.59 seconds. This result uses corrected PDCSAP flux and local quadratic baselines. We use the largest timing error from profile fits and three residual block tests. A quadratic clock term improves chi-square by only 0.14. The latest transit is 96.15 minutes later than the discovery point prediction. The discovery period error alone grows to about 65 minutes there. This offset does not establish orbital change or an error in the source clock. Gan et al. (2021) and the saved ExoFOP record already give longer periods. We then fit both the transit shape and clock to only the first eight events. The last event arrives 1.10 minutes before that prediction, with a combined conditional error of 2.52 minutes. Tests with corrected flux, quadratic and cubic baselines, and three physical shapes give similar periods. Raw aperture flux and linear baselines produce excess scatter under the primary errors. Across all checks, the periods span 3.96 seconds. Thus, the errors do not cover all flux model effects. A separate bootstrap refits the shared shape and gives a 1.58-second period spread. We supply the times, event decisions, original light curves, source records, code, bootstrap draws, figures, and offline repeat instructions. The contribution is an independent timing dataset and consistency check. It does not claim a new planet or the first period update. These data do not exclude small timing variations.

HD 21749 b · GJ 143 b · TESS · transit timing · ephemeris · public data · model dependence · reproducible astronomy

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References

6
  1. usesdoi:10.3847/2041-8213/ab12ed

    Dragomir et al. give the discovery clock, the epoch convention, and the starting transit parameters. We compare their paired period and reference time with new measurements.

  2. usesdoi:10.1093/mnras/staa3886

    Gan et al. give the 2021 period and reference time in Table 1. They also describe stellar activity and sector 4 flux noise. Their result already supports a longer period than the discovery value.

  3. usesdoi:10.26133/NEA12

    The saved NASA Planetary Systems table gives the discovery and ExoFOP clocks. The direct ExoFOP page was not accessible. The exact table query and response are included.

  4. usesdoi:10.1117/1.JATIS.1.1.014003

    The TESS mission supplies the public photometry. We use SPOC light curves obtained from MAST.

  5. usesdoi:10.1086/683602

    The batman transit model supplies the independent physical shape checks.

  6. Periods from the reference time source reduced the median TESS offset from 9.0 to 0.62 minutes for 51 tested hot Jupiters sci:sha256:c536f484b8b4e6835dd528dc6211e39a4bd8a8453c9ba695ca29b8d7909c9e12

    This earlier SCI study tests paired reference times and periods for 51 hot Jupiters. It provides related context. We reuse no code or measurements from it.

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