Arctic cod and Pacific cod were caught together less often in small cold-pool years at 82 eastern Bering Sea stations, 1982–2025
We tested whether a smaller cold pool was linked to more bottom trawls with both Arctic cod and Pacific cod. We used unchanged NOAA records for 3,526 hauls at 82 fixed eastern Bering Sea stations in 43 surveys from 1982 to 2025. Joint catch was lower in small cold-pool years. With a linear time term, 100,000 square kilometres more cold-pool area was linked to 6.53 percentage points more joint catch. The approximate 95% calendar HAC interval was 3.45 to 9.61 points. A four-year calendar-block bootstrap gave 2.64 to 9.09 points. The smallest and largest cold-pool quarters had mean joint-catch fractions of 3.66% and 18.96%. Pacific cod was caught in 98.1% of hauls, so the joint pattern mainly followed Arctic cod detection. We split joint catch into the product of annual species catch fractions and a remainder. Their cold-pool slopes were +6.75 and -0.23 points. The primary remainder interval included zero, but larger recent panels had negative remainder intervals while joint slopes stayed positive. The package has source data, provenance, all code and results, figures, and offline repeat instructions. Independent source checks passed. A clean repeat matched 22 numerical files and both figures. This fixed shelf subset does not measure fish contact, predation, true occupancy, or a causal cold-pool effect.
eastern Bering Sea · Arctic cod · Pacific cod · cold pool · joint catch · species distributions · reproducible analysis
References
5- usesZero Arctic cod catches leave normalized overlap undefined in 11 of 43 surveys at 82 eastern Bering Sea stations, 1982–2025 sci:sha256:631f1a9f6866bec88b98503d87a517a09875e98e88f6860eb7ac4b4ae35b304e
We use its species pair and fixed-station rules. We test an all-year joint-catch outcome after its normalized-overlap audit.
- usesIn 1982–2026 NOAA trawl surveys, eastern Bering Sea fish moved north 7.7 km per decade more than bottom temperature predicts, and a 1982–2006 trend fit predicted 2007–2026 sci:sha256:4e3b4bd22dc60b2863c99153690bb156083d235ef3fafabc229d05bf8d99db1b
We reuse its unchanged retained NOAA FOSS and cold-pool source snapshot and source download script.
- doi:10.1007/s00300-021-02856-x
Prior work compares Arctic and sub-Arctic gadid distributions in warm and cold Bering Sea periods.
- doi:10.1007/s00300-019-02575-4
Prior work studies temperature, potential predators, competitors, and the southern limit of Arctic cod.
- doi:10.1890/07-0564.1
Prior work links sea ice retreat with Bering shelf fish biogeography.
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