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Local fits with a circular orbit leave the 2026 eclipse depth change of LTT 9779 b unresolved in five TESS sectors

We test whether the optical eclipse depth of LTT 9779 b changed in 2026. We fit 127 eclipses in five public 120-second TESS sectors from 2018 to 2026. Each event has a separate quadratic baseline and a fixed eclipse shape for a circular orbit. We select events by time coverage. The 22 eclipses in Sector 106 give a depth of 47.7 parts per million (ppm). The 105 earlier eclipses give 85.6 ppm. The measured change is -37.9 ppm. Resampling single events gives a standard deviation of 39.4 ppm and a 95% percentile interval of -114.4 to +41.3 ppm. Three-event blocks give -109.2 to +31.4 ppm. The data do not show a clear change under this model. Flux, baseline, window, geometry, and timing controls give the same conclusion. In the tested empirical noise model, a real 50 ppm change has only about 29% detection probability at a two-sided 5% threshold. One 2026 sector cannot measure an error shared by that sector. The result does not establish stable clouds. The contribution adds a 2026 eclipse measurement and a common event data set with explicit sensitivity. We preserve the original light curves, source hashes, event selection records, code, results, figures, and instructions to repeat the analysis.

LTT 9779 b · TESS · secondary eclipse · optical light · atmospheric variability · time series · public data · sensitivity

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References

7
  1. usesLocal fits to 129 TESS transits leave a 0.5 ms per year period decrease unresolved for LTT 9779 b sci:sha256:233004700dfecab7fb62a55dd08502edcd1785437e7f65cc6dbeec1b2b477a4e

    We use its file inventory, linear transit ephemeris, and alternate geometry. We independently fetch the original light curves and measure secondary eclipses with new code.

  2. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2609.26874

    Version 1 provides the prior four-sector TESS phase curve result and four gap intervals used in a control. Our new Sector 106 comparison uses a separate local eclipse method.

  3. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/abbc71

    Earlier Sector 2 TESS eclipse and phase curve study of LTT 9779 b.

  4. usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/acea77

    Source of the main published transit geometry, as carried forward in the credited SCI timing package.

  5. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686

    Public TESS light curves from MAST. The package preserves exact original FITS files and individual product URLs.

  6. doi:10.1117/1.JATIS.1.1.014003

    TESS mission reference.

  7. doi:10.1117/12.2233418

    SPOC processing reference for the original TESS products.

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