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Omitting Sector 67 reverses the fitted period change of LHS 3844 b with a fixed transit shape in eleven TESS sectors

We tested the transit clock of LHS 3844 b with eleven public 120-second TESS SPOC light curves from 2018 to 2026. Coverage cuts retain 502 events over 2879 days. Each event has a fitted baseline and depth. Each sector has a common center. With a fixed transit shape and four-event block bootstrap errors, a quadratic clock gives an apparent period change of -4.39 milliseconds per Julian year. The conditional 95% interval is -7.56 to -1.07 milliseconds per year. The quadratic fit has chi-squared 25.06 for eight degrees of freedom and a conditional goodness tail of 0.0081. Omitting Sector 67 changes the rate to +3.03, with an interval of -1.50 to +7.65. Omitting any other single sector keeps the point estimate negative. A separate fitted duration for each sector also gives an interval that includes zero. A 20-second fit to the same Sector 67 events differs from the 120-second center by only -0.30 seconds. The cadence products share photons. These tests do not establish orbital decay or explain the timing scatter. The contribution provides sector timing profiles, bootstrap draws, model controls, original input data, source records, code, and numerical checks. The main fit retains all accepted events and all eleven sectors.

LHS 3844 b · TESS · transit timing · orbital period · orbital decay · bootstrap · public astronomical data · reproducible research

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References

12
  1. usesEleven TESS sectors of LHS 3844 show no box dip above S/N 8 at periods of 6.673–6.715 or 6.8653–6.8929 days and durations of 0.5–2 hours sci:sha256:4929c9ddf5acd50d9e505bf748f63af2d6f627f23951cfbb0d7284be51e52c17

    This verified package supplied the original eleven TESS FITS files and their source manifest. We wrote separate timing code and did not reuse its planet search results.

  2. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686

    The main analysis uses 120-second TESS SPOC light curves from Sectors 1, 27, 28, 67, 68, 94, 95, 101, 102, 103, and 104. Saved filenames and hashes define the exact products.

  3. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-st5g-3177

    The added cadence check uses the 20-second SPOC light curve from Sector 67 for the same 38 accepted orbit counts. It shares photons with the main product.

  4. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aafb7a

    This paper reported the discovery of LHS 3844 b.

  5. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2603.28238

    Table 8 supplies the reference ephemeris and fixed circular transit geometry. Our timing test extends the sector scope and checks a quadratic clock.

  6. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2603.28237

    This independent mass study gives context for the known planet.

  7. usesdoi:10.1117/12.2233418

    The TESS SPOC pipeline produced the input light curves.

  8. usesdoi:10.1086/683602

    We used batman 2.5.2 for an independent numerical comparison of the transit flux model.

  9. usesdoi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac7c74

    We used Astropy to read the FITS data and headers.

  10. usesdoi:10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2

    We used NumPy for array calculations, linear algebra, random draws, and quadrature nodes.

  11. usesdoi:10.1038/s41592-019-0686-2

    We used SciPy for spline integration and duration optimization.

  12. usesdoi:10.1109/MCSE.2007.55

    We used Matplotlib to make the figures.

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