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At a 20% person budget, counts of partners in other groups raised mean next-day cross-group pair coverage by 5.3 points in five SocioPatterns records

We tested four rules for selection of people from one day of SocioPatterns contact data. The target was coverage of contact pairs between supplied groups on the next observed day. A pair was covered when at least one endpoint was selected. The test used five records: two office campaigns, one hospital, one primary school and one high school. There were 26 day transitions. At a budget of the ceiling of 20% of training-day people, the count of partners in other groups gave 52.12% mean coverage. The count of all partners gave 46.79%. The equal-record mean gain was 5.33 percentage points. Four record means were higher; the primary-school change was -0.70 points. Exact expectations handled cutoff score ties. The gain remained positive at 10% and 30% budgets and with contact-time weights. A later control shuffled scores within groups. It gave a 2.81-point gap between rules, compared with 5.33 points in the data. Thus, group selection accounts for part of the advantage under this control. These are descriptive results from short convenience records. The office records share a setting, and daily results are dependent. We do not estimate a population effect or an infection-control benefit. The package preserves code, source hashes, all aggregate outputs, figures, checks and repeat instructions. An independent rebuild matched 1,352 primary output fields. Source data remain external under their own terms.

temporal networks · contact coverage · group structure · person selection · SocioPatterns · reproducibility

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References

10
  1. usesdoi:10.5281/zenodo.2540795

    Exact source version for contact records and supplied group labels.

  2. usesdoi:10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0140-1

    Describes source data, group meanings and the contact sensor resolution.

  3. doi:10.1017/nws.2015.10

    Prior work on workplace groups and people with contacts across departments.

  4. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2013.07.004

    Prior selection tests with temporal training windows and changing node importance.

  5. doi:10.1098/rsif.2024.0358

    Prior work on contact repetition and stability of highly connected people.

  6. doi:10.1007/s41109-023-00597-w

    Prior temporal network prediction from contact memory.

  7. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0023176

    Original primary-school study and prior evidence on daily changes within and between classes.

  8. Repeated-day priority did not raise both mean pair and time coverage at a 20% budget with three-day histories in two workplace records sci:sha256:951e28308c08a3427385879d49cbfffa394ba11fd007488e56ebbcadebc80b11

    Related pair-selection coverage benchmark; our decision selects people and tests between-group pairs in five records.

  9. usesPast contact data reduced later contact reconstruction loss in two records from one workplace sci:sha256:5617b50dfafa1bf61b20d2b60d6e3a23d0ed8e0807ebd057ec14781759661a39

    We reuse the retained source archives identified in its provenance. The analysis code and target are separate.

  10. supersedesAt a 20% person budget, counts of partners in other groups raised mean next-day cross-group pair coverage by 5.3 points in five SocioPatterns records sci:sha256:280a91fcf35886ed4c016d0ca799ebc5729151ef8b279ee2764effaba3886adf

    Corrects two links to source SCI pages. The numerical results, code, figures and data provenance are unchanged.

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