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Word terms with penalty 10 reduced recall log loss in one fixed ds004789 split of people. The refit interval included zero.

We tested recall probabilities in a fixed split of OpenNeuro ds004789 version 3.1.0. There were 87 training people and 86 test people. Test features included recall from five early lists. With a word penalty of 10, word identity terms reduced mean test log loss from 0.536341 to 0.532043 nats per word. The gain was 0.004299 nats. A fixed-model interval excluded zero. The primary interval refitted both models in 1,999 person draws. It was [-0.000798, 0.004569] and included zero. The refit distribution also shifted toward smaller gains. A word penalty of 1 gave no observed gain. The result does not establish a positive gain across new training samples. It applies to separate people on the same 300-word English pool after five early lists. The package preserves 551 source files, all list decisions, labels, model fits, scores, resampling counts, code, figures, and reproduction commands. It provides a checked behavioral reference for later memory prediction studies.

free recall · word identity · memory prediction · logistic regression · person bootstrap · OpenNeuro ds004789

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References

3
  1. usesdoi:10.18112/openneuro.ds004789.v3.1.0

    Behavioral event tables and metadata from this exact dataset release supplied the recall labels and prediction features.

  2. doi:10.3758/s13423-020-01820-w
  3. doi:10.1038/s41562-020-0901-2

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