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PG 1302−102 has unequal mean ZTF DR24 magnitudes in eight interval pairs 1,884 days apart

We test whether public ZTF Data Release 24 magnitudes of the quasar PG 1302−102 repeat after fixed published periods. We use 218 g and 232 r measurements and compare mean magnitudes in 30-day intervals. The primary shift is 1,884 days. Each interval must contain at least three accepted measurements. Six g pairs and two r pairs pass. We subtract a shared magnitude shift measured from nearby sources on each target exposure. The corrected later minus earlier differences range from −0.112 to +0.235 mag in g and from −0.072 to +0.115 mag in r. The RMS differences are 0.1696 and 0.0959 mag. After removal of a constant mean difference, they are 0.1148 and 0.0935 mag. Nearby sources have smaller differences on the same intervals. The accepted widths cover only 9.6% of a cycle in g and 3.2% in r. Shifts of 2,012.6 and 2,296 days each give only two g pairs and no r pairs, so these data do not support a fair period ranking. All selected target data use CCD 6, for which the release notes warn of a calibration bias. The local correction does not establish removal of source-dependent errors. The result is a verified set of interval differences, not a physical period measurement or a test that excludes a black hole pair. We provide raw responses, exact queries, hashes, all tested settings, source code, figures and independent arithmetic checks.

PG 1302-102 · quasar variability · ZTF DR24 · optical recurrence · black hole binary candidate · public astronomical data · ensemble photometry · reproducible research

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

8
  1. usesdoi:10.1038/nature14143

    This work supplies the fixed primary observed period of 1,884 days for the recurrence comparison.

  2. usesdoi:10.3847/2041-8213/aac2ed

    This work supplies the rounded fixed period of 2,012.6 days for a sensitivity check and reports earlier evidence against stable optical recurrence.

  3. usesdoi:10.1093/mnras/staf1473

    Appendix B supplies the fixed observed period of 2,296 days. Its combined record already includes most of the ZTF g data used here, so the present result is not independent period confirmation.

  4. doi:10.1093/mnras/stw1412

    This work explains how correlated random quasar variation can produce apparent cycles in short records.

  5. usesdoi:10.1088/1538-3873/aae8ac

    This work describes the ZTF data system and archive that supplied the public measurements.

  6. Fixed early ZTF r sine fits give larger errors than a constant on later data for two of three periodic quasar candidates sci:sha256:9bc5c4cc567dccebdd5465ede9c12a4717366e04529ababe8f89b13661e32309

    Related SCI work tests persistence of early sine fits in later ZTF observations of three other quasars. We use a different target and direct interval means; no code or data from that publication are reused.

  7. usesdoi:10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2

    NumPy supports the numerical calculations.

  8. usesdoi:10.1109/MCSE.2007.55

    Matplotlib produces the publication figures.

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