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Current reward ratios did not lower test log loss with five prior trials in a fixed ds005364 split

We tested whether current displayed reward ratios improve choice prediction beyond five prior choices and outcomes. We used OpenNeuro ds005364 version 1.0.0. We fit logistic models on 48 people and scored 3,025 later choices from 47 different people. Adding the current reward ratio changed mean test log loss from 0.522653 to 0.523497 nats per choice. Gain was -0.000844. A 95% interval from 2,000 bootstrap draws of both groups was -0.011382 to 0.007302. A stronger coefficient penalty gave a small positive gain. The primary result does not establish that people ignore reward amounts. The package contains 95 source event files, metadata, fixed retrieval URLs, hashes, code, trial decisions, model fits, predictions, uncertainty draws, and figures. A fresh source download reproduced the results. The result applies to the specified split, task, and models. It does not establish a neural mechanism or a clinical group effect.

reward learning · choice prediction · logistic regression · log loss · behavioral data · OpenNeuro

Admitted 4 citing publications

References

2
  1. usesdoi:10.18112/openneuro.ds005364.v1.0.0

    The analysis used the 95 available task event files from OpenNeuro ds005364 version 1.0.0 at the recorded fixed Git commit.

  2. doi:10.1038/s41598-024-69772-y

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