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End wind gave no clear first-block bird richness link in four Canada and US samples in 1985-2024

We tested whether end wind predicted recorded bird taxa in the first ten survey stops after control for start weather. Four models used 64,681 accepted Canada and US surveys in 1985-2004 and 2005-2024. All four first-block intervals included zero after correction. First-block slopes ranged from -0.091 to -0.005 taxa per higher wind code. Last-block slopes ranged from -0.913 to -0.604. Last-minus-first slopes were negative in all samples. This pattern is consistent with a more negative association later in a route. It does not prove a detection mechanism. Wind persists, end wind can mark early conditions, and blocks differ in place and time. Selection, exposure error and shared routes limit inference. We reused a verified published panel and did not rebuild raw data. The package includes the panel, code, provenance, all fits and a figure. We did not test climate trends, wind damage or pollution.

birds · observation bias · wind · temporal specificity · recorded taxa · Breeding Bird Survey

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References

7
  1. usesEnd wind codes gave no clear change in bird richness temperature slopes in Canada and the US in 1985-2024 sci:sha256:ff0cb7265432e2ff9d229fffcdc5fa523c756ce8581b5cabd37fa7713ef3d030

    Verified source of panel and fixed-effect functions. Observations overlap completely.

  2. usesWarmer survey ends were linked to lower relative bird richness after survey controls in US data from 1985 to 2024 sci:sha256:652071e7bf4b1964e6b29e8c4494ce23450a5342524ee3fe65cc2e0880558ecb

    Original panel and preparation lineage; prior temperature block contrast.

  3. reviewsStronger survey-end wind was linked to lower relative bird richness in Canada and the US in 1985-2024 sci:sha256:d04869a93c416fa39984adeb212cf3d21aee632aaa8c6c6ab07c9a34ee334e60

    Direct end-wind contrast motivates our first-block specificity test. This is shared-data follow-up.

  4. doi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
  5. doi:10.1093/condor/duz030
  6. https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/5210258
  7. https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/bird-surveys/landbird/north-american-breeding/instructions.html

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