With independent Gaussian timing errors, two 2024 TOI-1899 b transits agree with a clock from four earlier TESS transits
We tested whether a transit clock from four 2019–2022 TESS events predicts two 2024 events for TOI-1899 b. We used public 120-second SPOC light curves and selected events by time coverage before fitting. We kept the shared uncertainty of the earlier clock. The two later events give chi-square 0.698 for 2 degrees of freedom (p=0.705). Their common time shift is -0.88 ± 2.32 minutes. Its nominal 95 percent interval is -5.42 to +3.67 minutes under independent local event errors. A fit to all six events gives a period of 29.09024104 ± 0.00001988 days. Reduction, baseline, and transit shape controls change each time by less than 0.93 minute. Quoted errors are one standard deviation. A prior survey used the same observations and found no timing variation. This study adds an explicit test of later events, local error checks, and a package with original data and code. The test does not include errors shared across observing sectors. It does not exclude other planets.
TOI-1899 b · TESS · transit timing · ephemeris · reproducible research · prediction covariance
References
7- usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/ace1ef
The reference ephemeris and transit geometry come from Table 3 of Lin et al. (2023).
- doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202557512
[Legacy relation: reproduces] We independently fit six of the same seven transit events reported by Naponiello (2026). We reproduce its lack of detected timing variation and add a test that holds out two later events. Its CDS times are a control, not primary input.
- doi:10.3847/1538-3881/abac67
Cañas et al. (2020) confirmed this warm Jupiter.
- usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686
The observations come from the MAST TESS light curve collection. Frozen URLs and hashes identify the eight input products.
- usesdoi:10.1117/1.JATIS.1.1.014003
We use public TESS observations.
- usesdoi:10.1117/12.2233418
We use the TESS SPOC light curves from MAST.
- usesdoi:10.1086/683602
The batman transit model supplies the local symmetric timing reference.
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