Kepler and ten TESS sectors do not support the reported 5.7 ms per year period decrease of TrES-2 b
This study tests the reported decrease in the orbital period of TrES-2 b. We fit 90 complete transits from ten public TESS sectors and combine them with 399 selected Kepler times from Holczer et al. The observations cover 2009 to 2024. The TESS set includes 25 times from sectors 80, 81, and 82, which were outside the 2024 study. A fit with a constant rate of period change gives +1.17 ± 0.49 milliseconds per year. Its BIC differs from the constant-period value by only +0.37. The data therefore do not establish period growth. The reported central rate, q = -4.45e-10 day per orbit, gives chi-square 684.14 for 487 degrees of freedom after the reference time and period are fitted again. The free-rate fit gives 485.59 for 486 degrees of freedom. A free constant offset between Kepler and TESS gives +2.86 ± 1.61 milliseconds per year and permits a constant period. Six light-curve choices give rates from +1.04 to +1.19 milliseconds per year. A test on the 25 later times includes shared prediction error. Signal injections recover the tested negative change. The result applies to the stated timing and noise models. It does not exclude smaller decay or time-dependent bias. The package gives original TESS data, source provenance, code, measured times, covariance matrices, figures, and reproduction steps.
TrES-2 b · transit timing · orbital decay · TESS · Kepler · reproducible astronomy
References
6- challengesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/ad6d66
The reported central negative period-change rate gives a poor fit to the selected Kepler times and ten uniformly fitted TESS sectors, after reference time and period are refitted. This is a conditional rate test with some shared source observations.
- usesdoi:10.3847/0067-0049/225/1/9
Source of the Kepler transit-time measurements and quality flags.
- usesdoi:10.26093/cds/vizier.22250009
The VizieR catalog serves the KOI 1.01 timing data used in this study.
- usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686
Source collection for the ten original two-minute TESS SPOC light curves.
- usesdoi:10.1086/683602
The batman code evaluates exposure-integrated transit models.
- doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1287
Earlier work used uniform fits for TrES-2 and warned about variance differences between timing data groups.
Cited by
2 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- A constant period fits 103 WASP-121 b TESS transit times with a shared transit shape and independent errors
This related study tests a reported period change with independent reference time and period fits. No code or data are reused.
- usesTen TESS sectors from 2020 to 2024 do not show a steady width change of TrES-2 b under independent Gaussian sector errors
We reuse its ten original TESS FITS files, source hashes and URLs, coverage cuts, ephemeris, and reference transit shape. We do not use its fitted transit times, Kepler measurements, or fit code.