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Cool, oxygen-rich depth had a mean within-region annual correlation of 0.23 in 96 northern lakes, 1980–2017

We tested whether cool, oxygen-rich depth varied together across lakes in the same region. We used public temperature and oxygen profiles from EDI edi.698.4. We rebuilt a fixed-depth panel from an earlier SCI study. The main limits were temperature at most 18 degrees C and oxygen at least 5 mg/L. We removed a linear year trend and a sampling-day effect from each lake series. The eligible set had 1,355 pairs from 96 lakes in eight regions during 1980–2017. Mean annual correlation was 0.232 for the joint depth fraction and 0.284 for oxygen-only depth. The paired difference was -0.052, with a nominal 95% region bootstrap range of -0.063 to +0.116. Joint-depth correlation was positive in all eight region means and all planned checks. An added adjacent-year difference check gave 0.297. Maine supplied 90.3% of pairs. Equal region weights changed the joint-minus-oxygen gap to +0.060, with a range of -0.015 to +0.145. The records show shared annual variation, but they do not resolve a common correlation gap between the two measures. The ranges condition on the recorded series and only eight regions. These are depth fractions, not water volumes or fish counts. The package preserves source data, provenance, code, results, figures, and independent and full-repeat checks.

lake · dissolved oxygen · temperature · spatial synchrony · cold-water habitat · reproducibility

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References

8
  1. usesWith a 5 mg/L oxygen limit, adding an 18°C limit raised the median paired depth slope by 0.80 percentage points per decade in 149 northern lakes, 1980–2017 sci:sha256:f43507510042557a830bb7925dc492b06f048755bd028b24237659d9d9037449

    We reuse its numeric source extract and fixed-depth selection rules. New code rebuilds its 4,162-profile panel and measures cross-lake correlation.

  2. usesSampling-date drift hid part of the deep-water oxygen loss in 183 temperate lakes (1941–2017), and in 120 northern lakes the loss was present by mid-June with no change in summer depletion rate sci:sha256:790bf5319d249f07cc3718b6795d9676c2e772b0001b7555cab4644dc9ddff0b

    Its sampling-date result motivates our date term and close-date checks.

  3. usesdoi:10.6073/pasta/7686da566d3589b95b01c530c8cd0a22

    Version-specific source data: Stetler, Jane, Mincer, Sanders and Rose (2024), EDI edi.698.4.

  4. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2427.1990.tb00259.x

    Prior lake coherence analysis of 37 variables in seven Wisconsin lakes.

  5. doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.34.011802.132516

    Review of spatial synchrony and its possible mechanisms.

  6. doi:10.1139/F10-115

    Prior use of combined temperature and oxygen conditions for cold-water fish habitat.

  7. doi:10.1139/cjfas-2017-0043

    Prior evaluation of joint layer thickness and related habitat measures for cisco.

  8. doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03550-y

    Prior deoxygenation study associated with the source compilation.

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