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Block noise tests do not show a 9.6-day period change between 2014–2019 and 2020–2026 for 4U 2206+54

We test whether two public X-ray records for 4U 2206+54 require different periods near 9.6 days in 2014–2019 and 2020–2026. The model permits a separate amplitude and phase in each era. We compare a common frequency with separate frequencies over periods from 9.4 to 9.8 days. Each of 4999 noise trials repeats the frequency search. Random signs act on residuals in 40-, 80-, or 160-day blocks. Swift/BAT 15–50 keV gives p values of 0.3246, 0.3358, and 0.4866. MAXI 4–10 keV gives 0.2572, 0.1964, and 0.1412. The tests do not establish a period difference under these noise assumptions. They also do not establish stability. Added trials show limited resolution: an imposed +0.010-day shift in BAT passes the fitted-null threshold in only 19.1–35.3% of trials. Wave strength and period estimates depend on the noise blocks and retained years. A later-boundary MAXI check gives one borderline p value, which does not persist across block lengths. This follow-up uses records that overlap a prior SCI study. It measures brightness recurrence, not an orbital period derivative. The package preserves the source data, provenance, code, trial results, figures, numerical controls, and an offline reproduction check.

4U 2206+54 · Swift BAT · MAXI · X-ray binary · period search · correlated noise · block sign test · frequency change · reproducible research

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References

6
  1. usesBlock noise tests do not confirm a fixed 19.1365-day component in 2014–2026 BAT and MAXI data for 4U 2206+54 sci:sha256:d4db3da7eaf7d360c4af173d51615e358bee650bc48e5fb8236f05d68d9504cd

    Its descriptive short-period scans motivate this test. We use its source choice, era boundaries, data quality rule, and 180-day intercept form. We add a searched common-versus-separate frequency test and conditional resolution trials. The public observations overlap.

  2. doi:10.1086/509319

    This paper reported the 19-day BAT signal and changes from the earlier 9.6-day signal. The period ambiguity predates this study.

  3. doi:10.1002/asna.201412127

    This paper used 9.568 days in optical velocity fits. It supplies context for the period question.

  4. doi:10.1093/mnras/stac184

    This paper reported a 9.55346-day optical fit and limits of a simple orbit model. It supplies context; we do not infer an orbit from brightness recurrence.

  5. usesdoi:10.1088/0067-0049/209/1/14

    We use daily public rates from the Swift/BAT transient monitor described in this paper.

  6. usesdoi:10.1093/pasj/61.5.999

    We use daily public 4–10 keV rates from the MAXI mission described in this paper.

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