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An offline rule that reversed binary choices below 50% confidence reduced mean accuracy in 22 ds006253 v1.0.3 records

We tested a fixed offline rule in all 22 released behavior records from OpenNeuro ds006253 v1.0.3. The rule reversed a binary choice when stored confidence was below 50%. It assumes that the alternative has the opposite correctness. The test kept 5,992 of 6,017 trials. Mean participant accuracy decreased from 72.95% to 71.33%. The mean change was -1.614 percentage points, with a 95% participant bootstrap interval from -2.955 to -0.402. Confidence still ranked correct choices above errors, with mean AUC 0.619. In the source study's 17 confidence participants, the change was -0.879 points, with an interval from -2.401 to 0.321. The full source trial filter removes all reversal candidates. The result therefore concerns all released records before that filter. The package preserves source files, hashes, code, row decisions, 50,000 primary bootstrap draws, figures, and instructions. Separate calculations passed. Fresh downloads and analysis matched all 19 numerical result files. This test does not establish a benefit from asking people to reverse choices or identify a brain mechanism.

confidence · decision-making · choice reversal · accuracy · metacognition · visual motion

Admitted 3 citing publications

References

2
  1. usesdoi:10.18112/openneuro.ds006253.v1.0.3

    The analysis uses the 22 released behavior CSV files from OpenNeuro ds006253 v1.0.3; the publication records the selected files and their hashes.

  2. supportsdoi:10.1038/s41467-025-61744-8

    The source article provides the task description, clinical sample context, and source-study participant and confidence-analysis selection facts discussed here.

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