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Extreme daily highs had opposite low-water signs at four US gauges in retained 1960-2025 records

We tested low water on dates with extreme daily high water at six selected US gauges in 1960-2025. We used 42 fixed NOAA daily hourly maximum and minimum files. We removed the separate high and low means for each year and month. We retained 139,889 station-days and selected 968 event peaks above local 99th percentiles with three-day grouping. Mean low-water anomalies were -0.193 m at Boston, -0.234 m at San Francisco, +0.169 m at The Battery and +0.387 m at Sewells Point. Six-site adjusted conditional intervals excluded zero at these four sites. Charleston was near zero. Seattle had a positive estimate that fell from +0.090 m to +0.016 m with a smooth baseline. The four main signs held in two time periods and with other thresholds, event gaps and baselines. This extends prior campaign tests with a long-record event-peak comparison and an exact midpoint and range summary. It is not independent evidence from new gauges. Tides remain in the records. Daily summaries cannot identify surge, event order, drainage duration or a physical cause. Code, fixed daily evidence, hashes, checks and repeat instructions are included.

daily extrema · low water · NOAA CO-OPS · event selection · tidal range

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References

9
  1. useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/responseHelp.html
  2. useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/
  3. doi:10.1029/2021WR031405
  4. doi:10.1029/2023JC020737
  5. doi:10.1029/2018JC014282
  6. reviewsMonthly mean removal reduced changes in three-day runs of high daily minima at six US gauges in 1960-2025 sci:sha256:3b3b23c117c0eab59457e6adde046122b894fa42ab66100453c76134afbbbcab

    Prior low-water run trend test on overlapping data.

  7. reviewsDaily midpoint bias had nonzero trends at three US gauges in cycle-adjusted 1960-2025 fits sci:sha256:3535876a00cd8c5f72a2c1858b88c63d54ad338fc7d454dc6582600dee491747

    Prior evidence that the daily extrema midpoint is not mean sea level.

  8. reviewsTide correction of daily maxima increased their match with corrected high minima at six US gauges in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:485762a8ac9f2d557f6f0e514c33aec35a04f50cb42b0280df2c244883d70bc3

    Prior tide correction and crossed tail-label comparison on overlapping 2015-2024 data.

  9. reviewsTide endpoint subtraction raised high-high relative to high-low tail pairing at six US gauges in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:ab162fb4bbec8618ca6a2a00fe69096fbb2fdea77f60388c80c710b657ed515f

    Prior high/high and high/low tail comparison at the same gauges in 2015-2024; this study extends the period and changes the event statistic.

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