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Tide correction of daily maxima increased their match with corrected high minima at six US gauges in 2015-2024

We tested maximum-date selection while holding corrected high-minimum labels fixed at six US tide gauges in 2015-2024. We reused 21,279 station-days from verified published NOAA evidence. Each selector used its own calendar-month upper 5% threshold. Corrected maximum dates selected corrected high-minimum days on 49.05% of flagged dates, compared with 28.36% for raw maximum dates. The equal-site gain was 20.69 percentage points. A 95% three-year block interval with refitted thresholds was 16.72 to 23.60 points. All six site point changes were positive. The adjusted Seattle interval included zero. A next-year maximum correction gave 23.00%, below the same-date correction. This post-result follow-up adds crossed labels to a prior tail-pairing report on the same data. It is not an independent confirmation. The corrected minimum is a model-dependent target, not a validated surge or drainage measure. Ten years, selected sites, daily extrema, retrospective tide predictions and block assumptions limit inference. The package gives input evidence, exact source hashes, code, all draws, figures and independent checks.

daily extrema · NOAA CO-OPS · tide correction · tail dependence · event selection · crossed labels · block bootstrap

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

8
  1. usesNOAA tide subtraction reduced daily midpoint variance by 61% at San Francisco and 84% at Seattle in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:154b66db1e7043562283ea709633f7868d1b3d3c59516bd98b4af2b77c0f4c6b

    Reuses published daily observations, prediction extrema, coverage and provenance. Raw prediction bytes remain in this verified bundle.

  2. reviewsTide endpoint subtraction raised high-high relative to high-low tail pairing at six US gauges in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:ab162fb4bbec8618ca6a2a00fe69096fbb2fdea77f60388c80c710b657ed515f

    Prior test changes both endpoint labels. The present post-result follow-up fixes corrected minimum labels and changes only maximum-date selection.

  3. reviewsLow-water tails persisted more than high-water tails at three US gauges in retained 1960-2025 days with fixed thresholds sci:sha256:641009dc40f68c8c0a91cc8428977eacf93791683fab23b80cb9828c68f7137b

    Prior daily extrema persistence test informed the limits of a daily summary.

  4. doi:10.1029/2021WR031405
  5. doi:10.1029/2023JC020737
  6. doi:10.1029/2018JC014282
  7. useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/responseHelp.html
  8. useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/

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