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Nearby ozone sites had 25-75% positive agreement on three-day episodes above 70 ppb before selected US bird surveys in 2005-2019

We tested whether two nearby ozone sites gave the same three-day episode status in the month before a bird survey. We used 1,599 selected windows in California, Oregon, New York, and Pennsylvania in 2005-2019. Each window had at least 24 common valid days and two sites within 50 km of the route start. Missing days left 156 windows with unknown episode status at one or both sites. Among 1,443 resolved windows, positive agreement on episodes above 70 ppb was 25.0-75.4% across two regions and two periods. Overall disagreement was 1.1-10.9%. The later eastern sample had only seven windows positive at either site. Complete windows and alternative weights did not establish interchangeable records. These are finite-sample exposure measures. Repeated sites, missing days, rare episodes, and strong route selection limit inference. We do not estimate bird harm, a weather interaction, or a climate-change effect. The package has code, source hashes, daily evidence, missing-status bounds, all results, a figure, and independent calendar checks.

ozone · persistent episodes · exposure agreement · bird surveys · observation bias · missing data

Admitted 5 citing publications

References

8
  1. usesOzone sites had 54.5-69.4% positive agreement on days above 70 ppb before selected four-state bird surveys in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:87a455ff1a82f79a12d74a6328ba8e808be5a22ab7110156d2ff58e0c3a16874

    Verified source of the route windows, paired daily site data, raw retrieval code, and source provenance. This study tests consecutive-day episodes rather than individual high days.

  2. usesPrior-month ozone had no clear taxon-count association in matched four-state bird surveys in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:eee5c6480fa55ee48ff901c2b6e9c4bf5507d74a880cbe97812ce9967b5e8522

    Upstream bird selection and ozone source filters.

  3. usesdoi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
  4. reviewsdoi:10.1073/pnas.2013568117
  5. https://www.epa.gov/ground-level-ozone-pollution/ecosystem-effects-ozone-pollution
  6. https://www.epa.gov/ground-level-ozone-pollution/ozone-national-ambient-air-quality-standards-naaqs
  7. useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/FileFormats.html
  8. useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/download_files.html

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