Uniform six-day gaps hid more three-day ozone episodes than circular block gaps before selected US bird surveys in 2005-2019
We tested how missing-day order changes ozone episode detection before bird surveys. We used 797 complete 30-day windows from four US states in 2005-2019. A primary episode had three consecutive days above 70 ppb at the nearest site. We removed six days by two rules with equal daily missing probabilities. Exact calculations gave episode loss of 23.5-50.1% for uniform day subsets and 12.5-26.7% for circular blocks across two regions and two periods. The difference was 10.9-23.5 percentage points. Only 48 windows had a primary episode; the later eastern sample had one. The direction reversed for one-day events. These are finite-sample masking results, not actual failure rates or bird effects. Selected complete windows, repeated sites and rare events limit wider use. The package gives an exact counting tool, daily evidence, source hashes, checks and code.
ozone · bird surveys · missing data · episode detection · observation bias · exact counting · calendar timing
References
7- usesNearby ozone sites had 25-75% positive agreement on three-day episodes above 70 ppb before selected US bird surveys in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:40ac0422902c49903c33d409eb776f5b2cd2e94ca80a088a263277c133fd35de
Verified source of daily ozone evidence, selected bird-survey windows and raw retrieval code. We test artificial gap arrangement on its complete sample.
- reviewsNearby sites gave different three-day ozone labels in at least 88 of 1,599 US bird survey windows in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:5a04598cef24106bfc10aad7b69b87158558bc8972358546f2f5bef9cd35dbfc
Prior missing-day label bounds. Our test gives exact loss probabilities under two equal-completeness mask laws.
- usesdoi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
- reviewsdoi:10.1073/pnas.2013568117
- useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/FileFormats.html
- useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/download_files.html
- reviewshttps://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2025-09/epaoig_20250917-25-e-0051_cert_redacted.pdf
Cited by
1 publicationPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- reviewsShared missing dates ruled out date-sensitive ozone labels in 17 selected US bird survey windows in 2005-2019
Prior exact gap-order masking experiment. We test actual missing states and shared-date consistency; no data or code taken from this source.