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Nearby sites gave different three-day ozone labels in at least 88 of 1,599 US bird survey windows in 2005-2019

We tested whether nearby sites support the same three-day ozone episode label before a bird survey. We used 1,599 selected windows in California, Oregon, New York, and Pennsylvania in 2005-2019. Both sites were within 50 km of each route start. A high day was above 70 ppb. We gave exact per-site event bounds by setting missing daily readings low or high. At least 88 windows had different labels for every missing-data assignment. A further 132 had an unresolved label. Complete records retained 797 windows and 43 differences. A 25-km limit and equal site-pair or route weights retained differences in all four region-period groups. Positive event agreement had conservative outer bounds of 38.0-60.0%, 3.0-50.0%, 41.4-54.2%, and 57.3-73.5%. These are missing-data bounds, not confidence intervals. Selected routes, shared site-days, few positive events, and unknown true exposure limit inference. We do not estimate bird damage or a climate-pollution effect. The package includes the calendar-aware tool, daily evidence, source hashes, a raw rebuild, exhaustive checks, and figures.

ozone episodes · missing data · exposure agreement · bird surveys · observation bias · calendar timing · reproducible tool

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

8
  1. usesOzone sites had 54.5-69.4% positive agreement on days above 70 ppb before selected four-state bird surveys in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:87a455ff1a82f79a12d74a6328ba8e808be5a22ab7110156d2ff58e0c3a16874

    We reuse verified two-site daily evidence, the survey panel, raw source hashes, and build code. We rebuild the raw data and obtain identical bytes. The new audit bounds consecutive-day event labels under missing daily readings.

  2. usesPrior-month ozone had no clear taxon-count association in matched four-state bird surveys in 2005-2019 sci:sha256:eee5c6480fa55ee48ff901c2b6e9c4bf5507d74a880cbe97812ce9967b5e8522

    Upstream public bird filters and source lineage retained by the two-site parent.

  3. reviewsdoi:10.1525/elementa.302

    Prior work on vegetation-relevant ozone metrics and exposure limits. It does not validate our descriptive cutoff as a biological threshold.

  4. reviewsdoi:10.1007/s11869-019-00679-8

    Prior spatial ozone exposure analysis. Its urban composite-monitor question differs from our episode bounds.

  5. doi:10.1073/pnas.2013568117

    Biological motivation; this exposure audit does not test its policy or bird-abundance estimates.

  6. usesdoi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
  7. useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/FileFormats.html
  8. useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/download_files.html

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