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CARMENES DR1 signed amplitudes are below four HARPS candidate estimates with fixed periods, orbit shapes, and phases

We tested all seven signals from a 57-candidate HARPS list that match six CARMENES DR1 stars. The test uses 744 spectra as 729 nightly means. Candidate periods, orbit shapes, and phases stay fixed at their published values. The fit estimates signed amplitudes, offsets, trends, known-planet terms, and jitter. Four signals have much smaller amplitudes than their source estimates. Their periods are 80.98 days in GJ 393 and 92.22 days in Ross 128. The other periods are 58.74 days in Barnard's Star and 38.69 days in GJ 678.1 A. Their amplitude deficits persist with 30-, 60-, and 120-day residual blocks and the tested nuisance models. These resampling intervals have nominal coverage and are not calibrated false-positive probabilities. The other Ross 128 signal is unresolved. A positive 108.94-day coefficient in GJ 176 depends on the model and only 23 nights. Interacting known planets prevent a decisive test in GJ 876. Source-data refits check the orbit convention. An original-release comparison also shows that four GAVO SERVAL velocity columns have m/s numeric values despite km/s metadata. The package preserves all seven results, the complete match ledger, data snapshots, provenance, code, and figures. The test challenges specific orbit predictions. It does not exclude planets with different orbits or identify a physical cause.

radial velocity · CARMENES · HARPS · candidate validation · stellar activity · public data · velocity units · reproducibility

Admitted 7 citing publications

References

6
  1. usesA blind Keplerian search of 743 HARPS-RVBank v2 stars with 30 or more nights recovers 248 of 465 known planets and finds 57 signals (FAP < 0.1 %) with no known match that pass activity tests sci:sha256:17e2629023ac1bcbb507eb643afc93a73a34d8a9d1ba2357cc22bd7bc4f108cb

    We use its 57-candidate list, orbit values, and HARPS nightly means. We also use its frozen known-planet archive. We test seven matches with another instrument.

  2. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202244879

    CARMENES DR1 supplies the independent-instrument velocities and release documentation.

  3. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202348263

    HARPS-RVBank v2 is the measurement source for the derived nightly data in the source SCI publication.

  4. doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201731442

    Prior CARMENES analysis gives the GJ 176 activity context and a dynamical treatment of GJ 876.

  5. doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202346570

    Prior HARPS M-dwarf analysis supplies activity context. The source candidate list already records related warnings.

  6. 54 GJ 581 CARMENES velocities give a 95% limit of 1.26 m/s for a 66.7-day sinusoid with fixed planet periods and independent Gaussian noise sci:sha256:4dae6f6c26111939f7b75f46605c25a2c00e71261fdc4d9ffa46ea0d7b3350ac

    A previous CARMENES amplitude study shows the need to state orbit and noise assumptions. It tests another star and permits any phase.

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