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A positive wind and temperature term did not repeat across four US bird richness samples in 1990-2025

We tested whether wind changed the survey-temperature slope of recorded bird richness. We used 45,527 consecutive-year survey pairs with the same route and observer in the western and eastern US in 1990-2006 and 2007-2025. Models controlled survey timing, weather, observer experience, and state-year changes. The wind and temperature terms were -0.030, -0.047, +0.107 and +0.162 recorded taxa per 5 C per mean Beaufort code. Only the later eastern interval excluded zero after correction for four tests. That interval included zero with state-cluster uncertainty or start-only weather. The evidence does not give a common interaction across regions and periods. This is a survey-weather audit, not a climate effect estimate. Selected roadside routes, missing fields, coarse wind codes and unmeasured local change limit inference. Code, source hashes, exact model inputs and numerical checks are included.

biodiversity · weather · observation bias · Breeding Bird Survey · temperature · wind · replication · first differences

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References

4
  1. reviewsFour-state bird counts showed small adjusted temperature slopes in 1990-2024 sci:sha256:126791b41f1eba913c070e7ae9679b8913c785630cc8c3227560d208bf8c652b

    Prior same-observer temperature and richness audit motivates the interaction test. The source release and geographic scope differ; many underlying surveys overlap.

  2. usesdoi:10.5066/P144YU3S

    USGS 2026 BBS release for 1966-2025. Weather, route and metadata files are used.

  3. reviewshttps://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/5210258

    Robbins (1981) studied bird activity and weather using BBS data.

  4. reviewsdoi:10.1093/condor/duz030

    Rigby and Johnson (2019) tested weather and bird-song detection with experimental playbacks.

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