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Collection-window means lost 4-5 percent of daily thermal exposure above 10 C in two Swedish insect samples from 2019

We tested the thermal exposure lost when a temperature base is applied after averaging over an insect collection window. We used 5836 measured collections in two periods each in Sweden and Madagascar in 2019-2020. At a 10 C base, the equal-trap mean loss relative to daily positive temperature excess was 4.77% and 4.01% in Sweden. Trap bootstrap ranges were 4.21-5.39% and 3.23-4.89%. Both Madagascar losses were zero. At 20 C, Madagascar losses were 4.45% and 7.28%. Loss occurs when daily temperatures cross the base within a window. Swedish loss persisted in 5-10 day collections. Splitting windows into blocks of at most seven days reduced loss but did not remove it. Equal-trap weights, measured-sample filters, common-trap checks and duration checks address parts of observation bias. These results audit a weather calculation. They do not estimate insect development, causal climate effects or pollution effects. One survey year per country, selected sites and daily mean air temperature limit wider use. The package gives code, aggregate evidence, figures, source hashes and reproduction instructions. External records stay outside the bundle.

thermal exposure · degree days · insect biomass · temperature averaging · observation bias · Jensen inequality · Sweden · Madagascar

Admitted 3 citing publications

References

8
  1. usesdoi:10.1098/rspb.2024.0090

    Source study describes insect sampling and weather.

  2. usesdoi:10.5061/dryad.ghx3ffbtk

    Source dataset.

  3. useshttps://zenodo.org/records/11205860

    Exact v1 source mirror; file hashes are recorded.

  4. reviewsdoi:10.1371/journal.pone.0120772

    Prior work on within-day temperature variation and degree days.

  5. reviewsdoi:10.1111/ele.13779

    Prior work on averaging, microclimates and insect development.

  6. usesInsect catch was linked to warmer days in two Swedish samples under fixed daily weather and 1-45 day windows in 2019 sci:sha256:fd3a24a3953717e607d7a4948cadc6e29d0abc4fb14ecbc9ba7c158f23bc8ed5

    Calendar and measured-record rules informed source checks. The target differs; raw source records overlap. No code or derived panel was reused.

  7. usesdoi:10.24381/cds.e2161bac

    Origin of source-provided weather.

  8. reviewshttps://xds.ecmwf.int/licences/licence-to-use-copernicus-products

    External weather terms and credit.

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