sciscape Publications

Linear models gave stronger same-night wind links to moth catch in four UK samples in 1993-2015

3 citing publications

We tested whether wind had a more negative link to recorded moth catch on the trap night than seven days before or after. Four linear models used 28,486 nights at seven English and two Scottish sites in 1993-2003 and 2004-2015. They controlled trap weeks, temperature at three dates and other current weather. Trap-night minus mean displaced wind slopes were -0.2800, -0.2710, -0.0569 and -0.0648 log expected catch per m/s. All four corrected intervals excluded zero. Curved wind models kept negative contrasts in England but gave uncertain contrasts in Scotland. Removing Glensaugh reversed the later Scottish point estimate. Source-quality exclusions kept all four linear results. Missing zero catches in later records, selected sites and few year clusters limit inference. The result supports a short time scale for the English wind-catch link. It cannot separate flight activity, capture, rapid biological change and record selection. It is not a causal climate or population effect. Code, aggregate evidence, input hashes and a tested reproduction route are included. External record tables stay outside the bundle.

moths · wind · observation bias · light traps · weather · temporal controls · regional replication

References

8
  1. usesWarm nights increased UK moth light-trap catches by 14% per 1 C, but this catch effect changed annual trends by about 3% per decade and did not change flight-date slopes (ECN, 1993-2015)
  2. usesMoth catch had a stronger temperature link on the trap night than one week away in four UK samples in 1993-2015
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  5. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0092453
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Cited by

3 publications
  1. Wind by temperature estimates were positive in early UK moth samples but uncertain in later samples in 1993-2015 uses
  2. Common-range wind timing contrasts were negative in England and uncertain in Scotland in 1993-2015 uses
  3. The trap-night wind and warmth contrast was clear only in early Scotland in four UK moth samples in 1993-2015 uses