Local fits to two 2025 TESS transits of TOI-4562 b give a shorter interval than two printed 2024 forecasts
We test two central transit forecasts for TOI-4562 b from Fermiano et al. (2024), arXiv version 1. We fit public TESS data from sectors 88 and 96. Three older TESS events define a common transit shape. Each later time, depth scale, and local baseline remain free. The measured times are 2460707.93877270 and 2460933.04891905 in BJD(TDB). They are 25.97 and 42.51 minutes earlier than the printed forecasts. Their interval is 225.110146353 days. This is 16.54 minutes shorter than the forecast interval. The conditional residual noise error is 1.98 minutes for independent event noise. The 30 paired method tests give interval differences from -19.85 to -15.51 minutes. These tests change the flux, baseline, window, shape, and older shape data. A common time offset cancels in the interval. Prior conference work already used both later TESS events. This study adds numerical timing measurements and a reproducible test of the printed numbers. The forecast table gives no prediction errors. This test cannot reject a full orbit probability distribution or identify a new planet. The package preserves raw data, hashes, code, random seeds, numerical results, figures, and run instructions.
TOI-4562 b · TESS · transit timing · transit forecast · reproducible astronomy
References
5- usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202451935
We test two exact central forecasts in Table A.2 of arXiv version 1 and use seven older times in Table 1.
- usesdoi:10.3847/1538-3881/acb5a2
We use the discovery context, eccentricity, argument of periapse, and TESS limb coefficients for a control fit.
- usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686
We use and preserve five public two-minute SPOC light curve files. Their hashes fix the exact data version.
- usesdoi:10.1086/683602
The local physical transit profile uses the batman software.
- doi:10.48550/arXiv.2604.16297
Version 2 shows that the seven older transit times permit different companion solutions.
Cited by
3 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- usesTwo coplanar Newtonian orbit examples fit nine TOI-4562 b transit times at outer periods of 4,589 and 5,335 days
We use its two primary 2025 transit times and its preserved seven older times. We verified the signed archive before use.
- Local fits to two TESS reductions give March 2025 NGTS-30 b transit times that differ by 5.6 minutes
This study supplied method context for local fits, baseline controls, and block uncertainty checks. No code or flux data were copied.
- usesCoplanar Newtonian models with outer periods of 1,507 and 4,500 days fit nine TOI-4562 b transit times
We reuse its two tabulated 2025 TESS times, conditional errors, and preserved copy of seven older times. We extend the timing dataset to explicit Newtonian orbit examples.