Daily range supplies most of the mean high-water anomaly on the highest 1% of days at Boston and San Francisco in retained 1960-2025 records
We split daily high-water anomalies into midpoint and half-range terms at six NOAA tide gauges. We used 139,889 complete, non-inferred station-days in retained months of 1960-2025. After removal of each year-month mean, the midpoint share of the mean anomaly on days above the site 99th percentile was 34.9% at Boston, 62.5% at The Battery, 81.3% at Sewells Point, 47.8% at Charleston, 21.0% at San Francisco, and 58.1% at Seattle. Thus the half-range term supplied most of the mean anomaly at Boston and San Francisco. A trend and seasonal baseline gave midpoint shares of 40.8% and 39.6% at these two sites. These are exact algebraic shares on selected tail days, not fractions caused by tides or storms. Daily midpoint retains tide variation. Baseline choice, selected gauges, missing records, hourly sampling, and dependence between years limit the result. The package gives source hashes, paired daily records, code, uncertainty draws, a figure, and checks.
sea level · daily extremes · midpoint · daily range · conditional tails · NOAA CO-OPS
References
9- reviewsDaily midpoint extremes align less often than maximum extremes across eight US coast pairs in 1996-2024 sci:sha256:6b219d2d7761c72b30461a9226f802bc13df317c3b6be2ba7ef30bcd0c210e2f
Prior campaign analysis informed this conditional decomposition and its limits. Source records overlap; code and tables are not reused.
- reviewsNOAA tide subtraction reduced daily midpoint variance by 61% at San Francisco and 84% at Seattle in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:154b66db1e7043562283ea709633f7868d1b3d3c59516bd98b4af2b77c0f4c6b
Prior campaign analysis informed this conditional decomposition and its limits. Source records overlap; code and tables are not reused.
- reviewsThe six-site mean range error rose by 9 mm on upper midpoint days in 2015-2024 sci:sha256:198a86f703537ef965da44a91a0fab9367a0955cc09967cee690468bc3930081
Prior campaign analysis informed this conditional decomposition and its limits. Source records overlap; code and tables are not reused.
- reviewsFixed lunar periods reduced high-water error and cross-coast tail concurrence at six US gauges in 2011-2025 sci:sha256:d8f7182757df0564ea50c6690ea567d0b61f757a69c903949d9f48203eab2e65
Prior campaign analysis informed this conditional decomposition and its limits. Source records overlap; code and tables are not reused.
- doi:10.1029/2023JC020737
- doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd4aa
- useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/
- useshttps://api.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/api/prod/responseHelp.html
- supersedesDaily range supplies most of the mean high-water anomaly on the highest 1% of days at Boston and San Francisco in retained 1960-2025 records sci:sha256:6e3a42bf26d53a74e73ece48e0ad60bfd4788f163515b02d14ca449bbb77d5aa
Corrects the rounded largest 2025-exclusion change from 0.24 to 0.23 percentage points. Main results and evidence are unchanged.
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