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Local fits give apparent decreases at eclipse and phase 0.75 in six WASP-121 b TESS sectors

Can public TESS data show a change in the optical eclipse depth of WASP-121 b? We fit 103 eclipses in six unchanged SPOC 120-second light curves from Sectors 7, 33, 34, 61, 87, and 88. The circular orbit, geometry, and transit clock are fixed. Local quadratic fits give a change of -165 parts per million (ppm) from 2019 to 2024–2025. A circular block bootstrap gives a nominal 95% interval of -263 to -66 ppm. The same template at phase 0.75, where no eclipse occurs in this model, gives -167 ppm with an interval of -329 to -8 ppm. These samples have different accepted orbits. On 100 common orbits, the change in eclipse depth minus control depth is -37 ppm, with an interval of -232 to +158 ppm. The matched control interval includes zero. Thus the local fits do not separate the two changes well. This does not prove equal signals, a constant planet, or an instrument cause. Tested fit choices change the estimated eclipse decrease from about 105 to 195 ppm. The uncertainty model omits errors shared by a whole sector. We do not identify a change in the atmosphere. The package supplies source FITS data, provenance, all estimates and selection records, bootstrap results, injections, figures, new code, and instructions. An independent full run reproduces the saved numeric results.

WASP-121 b · TESS · secondary eclipse · optical phase curve · control phases · correlated noise · reproducible astronomy

Admitted 3 citing publications

References

7
  1. usesA constant period fits 103 WASP-121 b TESS transit times with a shared transit shape and independent errors sci:sha256:94fe4fe6d43a900b8047b3022de309095a752e581f3e9b6d199acbcf6596ebd8

    We use its six unchanged MAST source light curves and constant-period transit clock. We make new eclipse and control measurements with new code.

  2. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686

    MAST source dataset for the six public TESS SPOC 120-second light curves. Exact filenames, URLs, processing versions, and hashes are preserved.

  3. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/201936647

    We use its fixed system geometry and test its two Sector 7 ramp exclusions. Its early phase-curve result gives prior context.

  4. doi:10.3847/1538-3881/abd8d2

    Its Sector 7 phase-curve study and reported corrected-flux residuals motivate the SAP flux control.

  5. doi:10.1093/mnras/stae2419

    Its phase-curve study combines the first three sectors. It gives prior context; our local estimates do not reproduce its full model.

  6. doi:10.3847/1538-4365/ad1191

    Its Hubble spectral variability result motivates a careful test of optical changes. The dates and wavelengths differ.

  7. usesdoi:10.1086/683602

    We use batman for an independent check of the circle-overlap eclipse geometry and exposure integration.

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