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With common input readings and errors at most 0.05 mg/L, oxygen summaries bound the share below 5 mg/L at 5.10–13.18% in 244 US streams, summers 2010–2025

We tested what daily oxygen summaries show about the share of low readings. We reused 296,741 checked USGS days at 244 stream sites in June–August 2010–2025. Minimum, mean and maximum have a common input-series ID. Under a common-input support-and-mean model, with absolute errors at most 0.05 mg/L in each statistic, the weighted share below 5 mg/L is bounded by 5.10% and 13.18%. Days, summers and sites receive equal weights within their groups. The allowed range is 8.08 percentage points wide. It is not a confidence interval. Treating reports as exact gives 5.26–12.36%. The median site range width is 2.12 points; the maximum is 58.77 points. The elementary probability bounds are established mathematics. This contribution supplies a checked environmental application, proof, code and full source package. Independent scalar calculations check every day. Four hundred linear programs and 2,000 generated distributions check the formulas. Daily summaries do not establish reading counts, complete time coverage or instrument accuracy. The result bounds a reading share under stated assumptions. It does not measure continuous-day duration, biological damage, or a national stream rate.

dissolved oxygen · stream monitoring · probability bounds · daily summaries · reproducible research

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References

7
  1. usesDaily oxygen means were at least 5 mg/L on half of days with minima below 5 mg/L at 244 US stream sites under equal site weights, 2010–2025 sci:sha256:1c2621c69fdfa9e715d7b39397b182cffd9cf94b2cae56c6a8a7c76c889861cf

    We reuse and independently rebuild its complete 244-site matched daily panel, raw extracts and source quality rules. We add bounds for reading shares.

  2. usesMeasured dissolved oxygen in US rivers fell less than oxygen solubility in 1981–2025 samples and sensors, while the Zhi et al. (2023) reconstruction follows solubility sci:sha256:c0f2ed0f1527364039a6675d250d2cc026d8890aebf9f8ddccee4309dd604b3d

    This study retained the frozen USGS source archive used by our direct parent.

  3. usesdoi:10.5066/F7P55KJN

    USGS Water Data for the Nation is the public-domain source.

  4. doi:10.1137/S1052623401399903

    Established optimization literature on probability bounds from moments; we claim no new general inequality.

  5. doi:10.3133/tm1D3

    USGS monitor guidance describes record accuracy and permits some daily means with incomplete coverage.

  6. doi:10.1016/j.chemgeo.2010.08.017

    Prior review of daily stream chemistry cycles.

  7. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170383

    Prior study of daily minimum river oxygen prediction.

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