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Local fits to two-minute TESS light curves show wider TOI-1518 b transits in 2024 than in 2022

We test whether TOI-1518 b transits continued to widen after the previously reported change through 2022. We use all five regular 120-second SPOC light curves returned by saved MAST queries for this target. Time coverage rules select 60 of 72 predicted transits in sectors 57, 58, 77, 84, and 85. Each event has a free center, depth, baseline, and local transit shape. The fitted instantaneous full width at half depth increases by 8.77 minutes between sectors 57/58 in 2022 and sectors 84/85 in 2024. The 95% event bootstrap interval is 8.30 to 9.24 minutes. The five-sector slope is 4.34 minutes per year, with an interval of 4.10 to 4.58. A separate interval based on scatter between the five sectors is 3.57 to 5.11 under independent Gaussian sector errors. SAP flux, baseline changes, exposure integration, and local polynomial crossings retain a positive change. A restricted shape model gives a smaller increase of 7.30 minutes. The intervals hold common model assumptions fixed and exclude unknown errors shared by a detector, pipeline version, or observing year. A fit that assumes a circular orbit and a spherical star gives an impact parameter slope of -0.01246 per year. Its direction and approximate size agree with the published precession result. This study supplies a 2024 extension and event widths that others can check. It does not establish a first detection of precession. We preserve the original data, hashes, selection records, fit results, recovery tests, figures, code, and offline reproduction instructions.

TOI-1518 b · TIC 427761355 · TESS · transit width · transit duration variation · orbital precession · public data · reproducible photometry

Admitted 6 citing publications

References

8
  1. usesdoi:10.1093/pasj/psae019

    This prior study reports a decreasing impact parameter through 2022. Its period, reference time, radius ratio, limb-darkening coefficients, and scaled semimajor axis define the fixed values used here. We test later transit widths and preserve a separate 2024 event data set.

  2. doi:10.1093/mnras/staf1648

    This later atmosphere study uses September 2022 spectra, discusses the known precession, and identifies the importance of transit geometry for spectra. It provides context for this 2024 photometric extension.

  3. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686

    The primary data are the five regular 120-second SPOC light curves for TIC 427761355 in sectors 57, 58, 77, 84, and 85. Exact product names, archive identifiers, bytes, hashes, headers, and query responses are preserved.

  4. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-wpz1-8s54

    TESS-SPOC 30-minute light curves from sectors 17 and 18 supply a supplemental 2019 check. They are excluded from all main width contrasts and slopes.

  5. usesdoi:10.1086/683602

    The batman package supplies the exposure-integrated spherical transit profiles. The supporting package records its installed distribution version and runtime version string.

  6. usesdoi:10.1117/1.JATIS.1.1.014003

    The TESS mission supplies the public observations.

  7. usesdoi:10.1117/12.2233418

    SPOC supplies the corrected and aperture light curves used for the primary measurement and flux-processing control.

  8. Fits to twelve TESS sectors give weak evidence for wider Kepler-13 Ab transits from 2019 to 2024 sci:sha256:f9b264bff4f611658126764118a28615c43657e8d05586641f30c6aa3cec4d35

    This related study measures TESS transit widths for Kepler-13 Ab and resamples whole events. The present study uses a different target and separate local profile fits. No code is reused.

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