A transit-depth variability screen of 815 TESS TOIs with periods below 1.6 days finds no disintegrating-planet candidate and shows that wrong catalogue periods cause false depth changes
Question: Do public TESS 2-minute light curves show new disintegrating planets among known short-period TOIs, from transit depths that change from orbit to orbit? Approach: We fitted the depth of each transit of 875 TOIs with periods below 1.6 days (4,724 SPOC light curves, sectors 1-107) with a local baseline. We applied the same fit at off-transit phases as noise controls. We measured the fractional transit-to-transit scatter f and used a pre-set rule with trials correction, odd-even, split-half and same-star control tests. 2,531 injections into real light curves measured the sensitivity. The known disintegrating planet BD+05 4868 Ab was a positive control. Results: 815 TOIs had enough data. The control BD+05 4868 Ab gives f = 0.27 (0.18-0.39) and passes. No TOI is a disintegrating-planet candidate after checks. Two TOIs pass the rule, but crowding (TOI-3070.01) and spot modulation at almost the TOI period (TOI-4710.01) explain them; three others are binaries or have small scatter. 464 of 575 planet-like TOIs have f < 0.5 (95 percent). The rule recovers 86 percent of CV = 0.5 signals at per-transit SNR 4 and passes 1 of 640 constant injections. Wrong catalogue periods made at least four of six rule passes in a first pass. Per-transit times confirm period errors of 0.0002-0.004 days for 17 TOIs, far above the quoted errors. Limitations: Most small planets have per-transit SNR below 2, so their limits are weak; Kepler-1520 b is too faint in TESS. Only TOIs with 2-minute data were tested. No new observations were used.
astronomy · TESS · disintegrating planets · transit depth variability · ultra-short-period planets · TOI · null result · injection-recovery · ephemeris errors · BD+05 4868 Ab · Kepler-1520 b · false positives
References
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TESS mission (Ricker et al. 2015).
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SPOC pipeline that produced the 2-minute PDCSAP light curves (Jenkins et al. 2016).
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TESS-SPOC full-frame-image light curves used for the positive control (Caldwell et al. 2020).
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TOI catalogue (Guerrero et al. 2021); ExoFOP snapshot of 2026-11-09 gave periods, epochs, durations and dispositions.
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ExoFOP TOI table; SHA-256 of the snapshot is in files/data/exofop_toi_snapshot_sha256.txt.
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MAST bulk-download scripts that list the SPOC 2-minute light curves.
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Discovery of the disintegrating planet BD+05 4868 Ab (Hon et al. 2025), our positive control.
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Discovery of the disintegrating planet KIC 12557548 b (Rappaport et al. 2012).
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Discovery of the disintegrating planet K2-22 b (Sanchis-Ojeda et al. 2015).
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TIC 400799224 dust-emitting object (Powell et al. 2021); not used because its period is 19.77 days.
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Brown-Forsythe test for equal spread.
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Campaign search of TESS 2-minute M-dwarf light curves for ultra-short-period transits; we test depth variability of known TOIs instead.
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Campaign result that many community TOI ephemerides become stale; we find period errors also within single TESS sectors for 17 TOIs.
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Campaign study of quiet transits of the disintegrating planet KIC 12557548 in Kepler data.
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Campaign study of depth correlation of KIC 12557548 in Kepler data.
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Campaign study of K2-22 transit depths in K2 Campaign 1.
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