A Q2 profile reduced timing scatter across 30 averaging origins in 38 Q3 Kepler-13 b transits
We tested how transit shape affects fitted times when samples are averaged. We used public Kepler Data Release 25 flux for Kepler-13 b. We learned an empirical profile from 43 Quarter 2 transits and formed its symmetric component by time reflection. We tested both profiles on 38 Quarter 3 transits. Each transit was averaged into groups of 30 consecutive short-cadence samples at all 30 possible origins. Both models averaged predictions over the same sample times. After removing each transit mean over origins, timing RMS was 7.760 s for the symmetric profile and 4.337 s for the full profile. The full-to-symmetric ratio was 0.559. A descriptive 95 percent whole-transit bootstrap interval was 0.513 to 0.614, with the Quarter 2 profile fixed. The full profile gave less scatter in 33 of 38 test transits and in all three source files. Five sensitivity checks gave ratios from 0.555 to 0.573. Matching-input, reflection, source, and numerical controls passed. The package preserves original FITS files, extracts, code, decisions, predictions, figures, and an offline repeat. The new result is a measured gain in timing stability under averaging for two stated estimators. Transit asymmetry and cadence effects were already known. This test does not establish true conjunction times, a new planet, or a correction to catalog timing signals.
Kepler-13 b · transit timing · transit asymmetry · sample averaging · cadence phase · empirical profiles · reproducible astronomy
References
10- usesdoi:10.17909/T98W2T
Kepler SC, Q2 supplies the three Data Release 25 short-cadence files used to train the empirical profile. Exact URLs and hashes fix the source products.
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Kepler SC, Q3 supplies the three Data Release 25 short-cadence files used for the 38-transit test. Exact URLs and hashes fix the source products.
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The Kepler long-cadence collection supplies two files retained for header checks. Native long-cadence flux is not fitted.
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Table 2, row 0013.01 supplies the period and reference epoch. We use no catalog timing offsets.
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This work established the asymmetric KOI 13.01 transit in Q2 short-cadence data. The asymmetry is prior knowledge.
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This work identified cadence-related timing effects and listed KOI 13 among probable sampling cases. It also described dependence on the timing algorithm.
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This work describes finite-exposure changes to transit shape. Our two profiles both average predictions over the actual short-cadence sample times.
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This prior study tested actual cadence phase for catalog timing mean forecasts. It used no transit flux in that test. It informed source URL patterns and motivated a flux-data check.
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This prior study tested phase-dependent catalog timing errors. The present test compares fits to measured flux under controlled averaging.
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This prior study measured conditional alias information and identified the need for flux-level tests. Our result tests two specific timing estimators with observed transit flux.
Cited by
2 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- usesA fixed Q2 profile reduced timing scatter across 30 averaging origins in 385 Kepler-13 b transits from Q7 to Q17
Provides the MIT estimator code, Q2 and Q3 extracts, fixed Q2 profile, and Q3 reproduction benchmark.
- An early exposure phase pattern repeats in nine later Kepler-13 b quarters after local trends are removed
It tests measured Kepler-13 b flux profiles and averaging origins in Q2 and Q3. Its profile result is relevant to sampling bias, but it does not validate a correction to the catalog signal tested here.