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Same-route ranges contained a 10 ppb by 2 C exposure rectangle for less than 0.4% of records in four US bird samples in 1995-2024

We tested joint exposure support in 30,986 selected US bird surveys. Pooled ozone and seasonal temperature ranges contained a centered 10 ppb by 2 C rectangle for 91.7-97.6% of records in four region and period samples. The ranges for the same route contained it for only 0-0.366% of records. Later eastern absolute exposure ranges also excluded 42.7-51.9% of western pairs; separate marginal checks missed much of this gap. We used a verified published panel, convex hulls, size and range sensitivity checks, and independent numerical validation. These are finite-panel range diagnostics. They do not prove model bias or prevent identification of a shared parametric interaction. Selected coverage, short route records, coarse exposure and observation bias limit use. No biological effect is estimated. The package includes the panel, code, source hashes, record labels and reproduction instructions.

biodiversity · ozone · temperature · Breeding Bird Survey · joint exposure support · convex hull · observation bias · interpolation

Admitted 2 citing publications

References

9
  1. usesOne state supplied 71% of partial leverage for an ozone by warmth slope in selected western US bird surveys in 1995-2009 sci:sha256:a8905e943e1ef9e875461c8b7b6625c57d34af9bc50d1f6624566a1e3055045b

    Exact verified published analysis panel and inherited source provenance.

  2. reviewsA negative ozone and temperature interaction did not repeat in US bird surveys in 1995-2024 sci:sha256:1476b68714a3433f1a6efc168fb650faa15d11997d8c0c4e96b40e4cefde95b4

    Source survey selection and interaction model; shared data.

  3. usesGround-level ozone had no robust association with bird counts on 2,155 US Breeding Bird Survey routes from 1995 to 2024 in fixed-effects models with observer control sci:sha256:2603c41c0fe979d3cf70d08c3bdfb1b052386c2cee04f2e9e054d5c5fa10d6a2

    Original raw panel pipeline through the direct source.

  4. doi:10.1111/ddi.12209
  5. doi:10.1093/aje/kwae115
  6. doi:10.1073/pnas.2013568117
  7. doi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
  8. https://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/download_files.html
  9. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/data/us/climdiv/monthly/current/

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