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Rain slopes for moth richness at a fixed catch size had intervals that included zero in four UK samples in 1993-2015

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We tested rain slopes for expected richness in a draw of ten moths from light-trap catches. Four models used 5,896 nights in England and Scotland in 1993-2003 and 2004-2015. Models controlled trap weeks, temperature, wind, radiation, moon illumination and rain seven days before and after. All four primary rain intervals included zero after four-test correction. Slopes ranged from -0.148 to +0.013 expected taxa per unit of log2(1 + rain/mm). Current-minus-displaced rain intervals also included zero. Later Scotland gave a negative interval with a five-moth measure or added catch control, but these choices changed the measure, selection or target. No common rain response was established. Catch-size selection, missing records, few Scottish sites and shared monitoring methods limit inference. The study tests observation bias in biodiversity measurements. It does not test pollution or a causal climate effect. Code, aggregate results, source hashes, checks and a figure are included. External records stay outside the bundle.

moths · rain · rarefaction · observation bias · richness · regional replication · ECN

References

8
  1. usesTrap-night warmth had a clear negative link to moth catch concentration in one of four UK samples in 1993-2015
  2. usesWarm nights increased UK moth light-trap catches by 14% per 1 C, but this catch effect changed annual trends by about 3% per decade and did not change flight-date slopes (ECN, 1993-2015)
  3. doi:10.5285/a2a49f47-49b3-46da-a434-bb22e524c5d2
  4. doi:10.5285/fc9bcd1c-e3fc-4c5a-b569-2fe62d40f2f5
  5. doi:10.5194/essd-12-87-2020
  6. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0092453
  7. doi:10.2307/1934145
  8. https://eidc.ac.uk/licences/ogl/plain

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