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Fitting orbit shape removes over 90% of local amplitude information for some 365.25-day orbits at eccentricity 0.8 in all 152 selected HARPS series under independent noise

We tested how an unknown eccentric orbit shape changes local information about velocity semi-amplitude K in 152 selected public HARPS schedules. The main model has a fixed period of 365.25 days, eccentricity 0.8, independent nightly errors, era offsets and a linear trend. We compare information with orbit shape fixed and with mean anomaly, argument of periastron and eccentricity fitted. Every series has tested angles that retain less than 10% of fixed-shape information. For the median series, this occurs in 39.4% of a uniform 64 by 64 angle grid. In 148 series, some such cells also have fixed-shape information at least half of a uniform reference. Complete uniform phase coverage retains 43–55% at the same eccentricity. The median of within-series median retention is 0.297 for K and 0.633 for the mass-related scale K sqrt(1-e^2). Controls vary period, eccentricity, weights and the fitted period. Independent source and numerical checks passed. We provide the 152-series information atlas, exact time-basis reduction, source fields, code, figures and instructions. This is a local information test under fixed noise assumptions. It does not search the measured velocities, measure planet masses or establish a new planet. Grid fractions are not detection probabilities.

HARPS · radial velocity · eccentric orbit · Fisher information · observing schedule · orbit uncertainty · reproducible atlas

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

6
  1. usesAll 152 selected HARPS series give under 10% of ideal amplitude information for some 365.25-day orbits at eccentricity 0.8 under independent noise sci:sha256:7acb31d17c19d24fb2457fee16688a31728404cff0fdc80747dc156abb4ae1df

    We reuse the selected exposures, nightly inputs, selection ledger and source preparation code. We extend the fixed-shape test to fitted orbit shape.

  2. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202348263

    HARPS-RVBank version 02 supplies the public source data.

  3. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/201936686

    This paper describes the public HARPS radial velocity database and its corrections.

  4. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2966.2008.13656.x

    Prior information methods for radial velocity observation schedules and orbit precision.

  5. doi:10.3847/1538-3881/ad739b

    Prior Fisher scheduling with correlated stellar noise.

  6. doi:10.1093/mnras/stz1849

    Prior results on eccentricity estimates, model error and nonlinear inference.

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