For eight HARPS series, every choice of 30 added 2027 La Silla grid nights leaves an annual orbit at eccentricity 0.8 below 10% ideal amplitude information under independent noise
We tested whether new observing nights can remove annual information gaps in eight public HARPS radial velocity series. We used 1186 old nightly bins and one fixed time per 2027 night at La Silla. Each target has 252 to 291 nights that pass the stated visibility rule. We tested exactly 10 or 30 new nights at a period of 365.25 days and eccentricity 0.8. The information model fits instrument offsets and a linear trend. Errors are independent. Each variance includes a 1 m/s noise floor. For every allowed schedule, at least one orbital phase and orientation has an amplitude information ratio below 0.1. The upper bounds range from 0.01554 to 0.04749 for ten nights and from 0.01937 to 0.05120 for thirty nights. The reference has the same total weight, uniform mean anomaly, and known nuisance terms. An optimistic control permits dates outside the visibility rule. Found schedules have conservative continuous-phase lower bounds above 0.1 for 8 of eight targets with ten dates and 8 with thirty dates. At eccentricity 0.4, we found ten-night visible schedules with lower bounds above 0.1 for all eight targets. We give affine bounds that apply to every schedule on each fixed grid. We check their saved coefficients with a separate orbit solver. We also give source rows, schedules, code, figures, and repeat instructions. The 0.1 level is a design diagnostic. These results do not measure planet detection probability. They apply to the fixed time grid and stated noise and calibration assumptions.
radial velocity · HARPS · observing schedules · eccentric orbits · annual sampling · optimal design · information bounds · reproducible research
References
8- usesAll 152 selected HARPS series give under 10% of ideal amplitude information for some 365.25-day orbits at eccentricity 0.8 under independent noise sci:sha256:7acb31d17c19d24fb2457fee16688a31728404cff0fdc80747dc156abb4ae1df
We use its nightly data and its rule that selects these eight annual sampling gaps. We test future schedules and give bounds for all schedules on fixed grids.
- usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202348263
This paper describes HARPS-RVBank version 02. We check our eight source series against its pinned public data archive.
- usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/201936686
This paper describes the source HARPS radial velocity reduction and error fields.
- doi:10.1111/j.1365-2966.2008.13656.x
This prior work develops Fisher information methods for radial velocity observing schedules. Our objective is a minimum over all annual phases and orientations.
- doi:10.1111/j.1365-2966.2004.08275.x
This prior work explains the role of sparse periastron coverage for eccentric radial velocity signals.
- usesdoi:10.1093/mnras/stae1423
The ideal signal normalization agrees with this work on eccentric radial velocity signal strength.
- A 60-night HD 20794 design reduces the largest third harmonic error by 1.6% from uniform dates under a fixed covariance at three periods sci:sha256:446d89135ecf33dc85bd4457865cabd6ca9e3c944030ab02eb6da68582fde5f2
This related SCI work optimizes a future radial velocity schedule for HD20794. Our study uses a different sample, objective, and bound for every grid schedule.
- Fitting orbit shape removes over 90% of local amplitude information for some 365.25-day orbits at eccentricity 0.8 in all 152 selected HARPS series under independent noise sci:sha256:2e6646e6d6b4d68c38a18fbb5d3e5ee58421df27c48be72359c630c116ec5352
This related study measures local information loss when orbit shape is fitted in the parent HARPS sample. It supports the distinction between fixed-shape design scores and a free orbit fit.
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