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Four TESS event times for TIC 25194908 do not fit a constant period under local symmetric models and the stated errors

We measured seven dimming events for two known candidates in public TESS data through sector 96. Four event times for TIC 25194908 do not fit a constant period under local symmetric models and the stated errors. The timing chi-square is 174.76 for two degrees of freedom. Conditional errors range from 5.7 to 10.9 minutes. The three later events alone fit a constant period. This line places the first event 146.1 minutes after its measured center. The conditional error is 11.1 minutes. Changes in the baseline, window, aperture flux, and event shape retain the discrepancy. Three QLP times differ from the main times by 23 to 30 minutes. They retain the discrepancy when combined with the first SPOC time. An added independent error of 33.85 minutes per event reduces the main test to the 5 percent boundary. Three times for TIC 294097549 fit a constant period. Their chi-square is 0.149 for one degree of freedom. ExoFOP already contains the approximate periods. We do not claim their discovery. The timing discrepancy depends on the first event. It does not establish a planet, a physical timing change, or its cause. We provide fixed input columns from 62 public light curves. The package includes archive identifiers, checksums, code, figures, and reproduction instructions.

TESS · transit timing · TIC 25194908 · TIC 294097549 · duotransit candidates · public astronomical data · reproducible research

Admitted 2 citing publications

References

9
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    This catalog gives the target set, earlier event centers, and allowed periods.

  2. usesdoi:10.17909/t9-nmc8-f686

    We use public SPOC two-minute light curves in addition to TESS-SPOC products. The fixed manifests identify each product.

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    We use public TESS-SPOC light curves. The package identifies every selected archive product.

  4. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2011.05495

    This paper describes the TESS-SPOC data used in this study.

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    We use three public QLP light curves to test the effect of a different reduction.

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    This paper describes QLP light curves from the first year of the extended mission, including sector 28.

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    This paper describes later QLP data delivery. The package also credits the current delivery team.

  8. usesdoi:10.1086/683602

    We use batman to make symmetric limb-darkened templates for a shape test.

  9. usesShared training uncertainty limits the constant-period mean offset to 1.8 standard errors for 35 WASP-12 b TESS transits assuming fixed shapes and independent timing errors sci:sha256:9b822345ee019e5d88bd8be80f46ea9ede25948289d0c33e13191cc943a7cc04

    This study shows why forecast errors need the full shared covariance. We use this statistical method. We do not copy its code or data.

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